Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other agencies indicate a sharp temperature drop for Lucknow on September 25 driven by widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and gusty winds associated with an active weather system over Uttar Pradesh. This setup, occurring during the late monsoon transition, is expected to limit daytime heating and produce maximum temperatures near 25–27°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 25°C, 24°C, and 29°C-or-higher outcomes. High humidity and rainfall further suppress peaks relative to the historical late-September average of roughly 33°C. Traders appear to weigh the strength and timing of this precipitation against any potential clearing that could allow brief warming, with upcoming IMD updates and model consensus likely to refine resolution probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月25日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
29°C或更高 60%
23°C 39%
25°C 33%
26°C 26%
19°C或以下
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
39%
24°C
25%
25°C
33%
26°C
26%
27°C
12%
28°C
16%
29°C或更高
60%
29°C或更高 60%
23°C 39%
25°C 33%
26°C 26%
19°C或以下
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
39%
24°C
25%
25°C
33%
26°C
26%
27°C
12%
28°C
16%
29°C或更高
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and other agencies indicate a sharp temperature drop for Lucknow on September 25 driven by widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and gusty winds associated with an active weather system over Uttar Pradesh. This setup, occurring during the late monsoon transition, is expected to limit daytime heating and produce maximum temperatures near 25–27°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 25°C, 24°C, and 29°C-or-higher outcomes. High humidity and rainfall further suppress peaks relative to the historical late-September average of roughly 33°C. Traders appear to weigh the strength and timing of this precipitation against any potential clearing that could allow brief warming, with upcoming IMD updates and model consensus likely to refine resolution probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions