Recent forecasts from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum near 26–27°C in Madrid on September 9, 2026, driven by northeasterly flow, morning cloud cover with light rain, and limited afternoon clearing that curbs solar heating relative to the 28°C historical average high. These conditions align with the market’s strong 67% implied probability for 27°C and secondary weighting toward 28°C, while cooler 26°C outcomes remain plausible if showers persist longer. Warmer extremes above 29°C are discounted given the stable high-pressure pattern and absence of southerly advection that typically produces late-summer peaks. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日馬德裏氣溫最高？
9月9日馬德裏氣溫最高？
27°C 72%
28°C 22%
26°C 6%
29°C <1%
$36,324 交易量
$36,324 交易量
2026-09-09
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
6%
27°C
72%
28°C
22%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
27°C 72%
28°C 22%
26°C 6%
29°C <1%
$36,324 交易量
$36,324 交易量
2026-09-09
24°C或以下
$1,271 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,456 交易量
<1%
26°C
$6,872 交易量
6%
27°C
$7,825 交易量
72%
28°C
$6,945 交易量
22%
29°C
$3,846 交易量
1%
30°C
$3,533 交易量
<1%
31°C
$985 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,281 交易量
<1%
33°C
$796 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$514 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum near 26–27°C in Madrid on September 9, 2026, driven by northeasterly flow, morning cloud cover with light rain, and limited afternoon clearing that curbs solar heating relative to the 28°C historical average high. These conditions align with the market’s strong 67% implied probability for 27°C and secondary weighting toward 28°C, while cooler 26°C outcomes remain plausible if showers persist longer. Warmer extremes above 29°C are discounted given the stable high-pressure pattern and absence of southerly advection that typically produces late-summer peaks. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$36,324結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum near 26–27°C in Madrid on September 9, 2026, driven by northeasterly flow, morning cloud cover with light rain, and limited afternoon clearing that curbs solar heating relative to the 28°C historical average high. These conditions align with the market’s strong 67% implied probability for 27°C and secondary weighting toward 28°C, while cooler 26°C outcomes remain plausible if showers persist longer. Warmer extremes above 29°C are discounted given the stable high-pressure pattern and absence of southerly advection that typically produces late-summer peaks. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36,324結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and supporting models indicate a daytime maximum near 26–27°C in Madrid on September 9, 2026, driven by northeasterly flow, morning cloud cover with light rain, and limited afternoon clearing that curbs solar heating relative to the 28°C historical average high. These conditions align with the market’s strong 67% implied probability for 27°C and secondary weighting toward 28°C, while cooler 26°C outcomes remain plausible if showers persist longer. Warmer extremes above 29°C are discounted given the stable high-pressure pattern and absence of southerly advection that typically produces late-summer peaks. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will determine final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions