**Trader consensus has converged on a 37°C daily maximum for Manila today, driven by the latest official forecasts and real-time observations aligning precisely on this threshold.** Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) monitoring and regional models indicate peak temperatures reaching this level amid typical June easterly flow and urban heat retention in Metro Manila, with afternoon readings at key stations confirming the climb toward 37°C. This outcome sits slightly above the monthly climatological average high near 32–34°C but remains within observed variability during periods of reduced cloud cover and light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in resolution criteria based on verified station data, though minor discrepancies in exact measurement timing or localized urban effects could theoretically shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Updated PAGASA bulletins and final daily summaries expected later today will confirm the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Manila on June 17?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 17?
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$27,043 交易量
$27,043 交易量
2026-06-17
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$27,043 交易量
$27,043 交易量
2026-06-17
28°C or below
$350 交易量
No
29°C
$350 交易量
No
30°C
$520 交易量
No
31°C
$588 交易量
No
32°C
$2,325 交易量
No
33°C
$2,802 交易量
No
34°C
$2,637 交易量
No
35°C
$4,358 交易量
No
36°C
$4,401 交易量
No
37°C
$5,157 交易量
Yes
38°C or higher
$3,555 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 37°C daily maximum for Manila today, driven by the latest official forecasts and real-time observations aligning precisely on this threshold.** Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) monitoring and regional models indicate peak temperatures reaching this level amid typical June easterly flow and urban heat retention in Metro Manila, with afternoon readings at key stations confirming the climb toward 37°C. This outcome sits slightly above the monthly climatological average high near 32–34°C but remains within observed variability during periods of reduced cloud cover and light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in resolution criteria based on verified station data, though minor discrepancies in exact measurement timing or localized urban effects could theoretically shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Updated PAGASA bulletins and final daily summaries expected later today will confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$27,043結束日期
2026-06-17市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 37°C daily maximum for Manila today, driven by the latest official forecasts and real-time observations aligning precisely on this threshold.** Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) monitoring and regional models indicate peak temperatures reaching this level amid typical June easterly flow and urban heat retention in Metro Manila, with afternoon readings at key stations confirming the climb toward 37°C. This outcome sits slightly above the monthly climatological average high near 32–34°C but remains within observed variability during periods of reduced cloud cover and light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in resolution criteria based on verified station data, though minor discrepancies in exact measurement timing or localized urban effects could theoretically shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Updated PAGASA bulletins and final daily summaries expected later today will confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$27,043結束日期
2026-06-17市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus has converged on a 37°C daily maximum for Manila today, driven by the latest official forecasts and real-time observations aligning precisely on this threshold.** Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) monitoring and regional models indicate peak temperatures reaching this level amid typical June easterly flow and urban heat retention in Metro Manila, with afternoon readings at key stations confirming the climb toward 37°C. This outcome sits slightly above the monthly climatological average high near 32–34°C but remains within observed variability during periods of reduced cloud cover and light winds. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in resolution criteria based on verified station data, though minor discrepancies in exact measurement timing or localized urban effects could theoretically shift the recorded peak by 1°C. Updated PAGASA bulletins and final daily summaries expected later today will confirm the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions