Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milano Malpensa Airport's highest temperature on April 15 between 20-22°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and diurnal heating across northern Italy, fueling trader sentiment clustered around these outcomes. Recent overnight clearing after variable clouds yesterday has enhanced potential for solar insolation today, building on above-average April readings like 20°C+ earlier this week. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread—some members forecast 22°C with minimal clouds, others cap at 20°C amid patchy cover—and airport station microclimate effects on surface readings. Official Aeronautica Militare hourly observations through afternoon peak (around 14-16 UTC) will clarify resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on April 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 15?
21°C 39%
22°C 29%
20°C 24%
23°C or higher 6.2%
$47,012 交易量
$47,012 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
24%
21°C
39%
22°C
29%
23°C or higher
6%
21°C 39%
22°C 29%
20°C 24%
23°C or higher 6.2%
$47,012 交易量
$47,012 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
24%
21°C
39%
22°C
29%
23°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milano Malpensa Airport's highest temperature on April 15 between 20-22°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and diurnal heating across northern Italy, fueling trader sentiment clustered around these outcomes. Recent overnight clearing after variable clouds yesterday has enhanced potential for solar insolation today, building on above-average April readings like 20°C+ earlier this week. Differentiating factors include ensemble spread—some members forecast 22°C with minimal clouds, others cap at 20°C amid patchy cover—and airport station microclimate effects on surface readings. Official Aeronautica Militare hourly observations through afternoon peak (around 14-16 UTC) will clarify resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions