Current mid-afternoon observations from Milan-area stations, including 18–19°C (64–66°F) at Linate per Weather Underground and timeanddate.com data, already exceed 17°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the highest temperature on April 22 surpassing this threshold at resolution station Milano Malpensa Airport (LIMC). High-pressure ridging over northern Italy has stabilized conditions after thunderstorms on April 19–20, with ECMWF and GFS model consensus, alongside Aeronautica Militare and ARPA Lombardia forecasts, projecting daily highs of 18–20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. April climatology supports this, with Malpensa averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon cold front or persistent overcast reducing insolation, though model agreement and remaining daylight minimize such risks; end-of-day data releases will finalize positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月22日米蘭的最高溫度?
17°C或以上 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$57,306 交易量
$57,306 交易量
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
是
17°C或以上 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$57,306 交易量
$57,306 交易量
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current mid-afternoon observations from Milan-area stations, including 18–19°C (64–66°F) at Linate per Weather Underground and timeanddate.com data, already exceed 17°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the highest temperature on April 22 surpassing this threshold at resolution station Milano Malpensa Airport (LIMC). High-pressure ridging over northern Italy has stabilized conditions after thunderstorms on April 19–20, with ECMWF and GFS model consensus, alongside Aeronautica Militare and ARPA Lombardia forecasts, projecting daily highs of 18–20°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. April climatology supports this, with Malpensa averages near 18°C. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen late-afternoon cold front or persistent overcast reducing insolation, though model agreement and remaining daylight minimize such risks; end-of-day data releases will finalize positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions