Latest ECMWF and GFS model consensus points to a 35–36°C peak in Milan on June 21 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating in the Po Valley. These conditions align with June climatology of 26–28°C averages but are amplified by the current anticyclone, pushing afternoon maxima into the mid-30s. The market’s tight clustering around 34–36°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact model guidance, with small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture able to alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Official NHC-style verification will use Milan Linate or similar station data, and final model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for any odds movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月21日米蘭的最高溫度?
34°C 100.0%
33°C或以下 <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$58,145 交易量
$58,145 交易量
33°C或以下
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
否
41°C
否
42°C
否
43°C或以上
否
34°C 100.0%
33°C或以下 <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$58,145 交易量
$58,145 交易量
33°C或以下
否
34°C
是
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C
否
39°C
否
40°C
否
41°C
否
42°C
否
43°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Latest ECMWF and GFS model consensus points to a 35–36°C peak in Milan on June 21 under a strengthening subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow that limits mixing and allows strong daytime heating in the Po Valley. These conditions align with June climatology of 26–28°C averages but are amplified by the current anticyclone, pushing afternoon maxima into the mid-30s. The market’s tight clustering around 34–36°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact model guidance, with small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture able to alter the daily high by 1–2°C. Official NHC-style verification will use Milan Linate or similar station data, and final model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for any odds movement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions