Current forecasts from multiple models point to a maximum of 27–28°C in Milan on September 15 under clear skies, light easterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's dominant implied probabilities. Stable high pressure and seasonal late-summer conditions support this range, with daytime highs typically peaking in the mid-afternoon. Recent model consensus shows little divergence, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by 1°C. Historical September maxima average near 22–24°C, making the expected outcome mildly elevated but consistent with ongoing warm advection patterns. Updated forecasts and real-time observations tomorrow morning will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日米蘭的最高溫度?
27°C 55%
28°C 40%
26°C 9%
29°C 2%
$15,566 交易量
$15,566 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
9%
27°C
55%
28°C
40%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
27°C 55%
28°C 40%
26°C 9%
29°C 2%
$15,566 交易量
$15,566 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
9%
27°C
55%
28°C
40%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models point to a maximum of 27–28°C in Milan on September 15 under clear skies, light easterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk, aligning with the market's dominant implied probabilities. Stable high pressure and seasonal late-summer conditions support this range, with daytime highs typically peaking in the mid-afternoon. Recent model consensus shows little divergence, though slight variations in boundary-layer mixing could nudge the peak by 1°C. Historical September maxima average near 22–24°C, making the expected outcome mildly elevated but consistent with ongoing warm advection patterns. Updated forecasts and real-time observations tomorrow morning will refine the final recorded high before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions