Official observations from Russian meteorological monitoring, including data aligned with Vnukovo International Airport records, have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 8°C in Moscow on May 29, locking market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This reflects a sharp cooldown driven by westerly winds and rain, which suppressed daytime highs following the record May heatwave earlier in the month when temperatures exceeded 30°C. Model consensus and station measurements converged on this value, with no significant revisions expected. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the positioning remain limited to minor discrepancies in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects, though the aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital indicates high confidence in the verified data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Moscow on May 29?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 29?
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$176,929 交易量
$176,929 交易量
2026-05-29
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$176,929 交易量
$176,929 交易量
2026-05-29
4°C or below
$4,474 交易量
No
5°C
$3,369 交易量
No
6°C
$5,317 交易量
No
7°C
$7,403 交易量
No
8°C
$123,511 交易量
Yes
9°C
$10,292 交易量
No
10°C
$7,318 交易量
No
11°C
$4,916 交易量
No
12°C
$2,687 交易量
No
13°C
$3,256 交易量
No
14°C or higher
$4,385 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Russian meteorological monitoring, including data aligned with Vnukovo International Airport records, have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 8°C in Moscow on May 29, locking market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This reflects a sharp cooldown driven by westerly winds and rain, which suppressed daytime highs following the record May heatwave earlier in the month when temperatures exceeded 30°C. Model consensus and station measurements converged on this value, with no significant revisions expected. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the positioning remain limited to minor discrepancies in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects, though the aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital indicates high confidence in the verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： May 27, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
交易量
$176,929結束日期
2026-05-29市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
有爭議
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Russian meteorological monitoring, including data aligned with Vnukovo International Airport records, have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 8°C in Moscow on May 29, locking market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This reflects a sharp cooldown driven by westerly winds and rain, which suppressed daytime highs following the record May heatwave earlier in the month when temperatures exceeded 30°C. Model consensus and station measurements converged on this value, with no significant revisions expected. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the positioning remain limited to minor discrepancies in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects, though the aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital indicates high confidence in the verified data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$176,929結束日期
2026-05-29市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
有爭議
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Russian meteorological monitoring, including data aligned with Vnukovo International Airport records, have confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 8°C in Moscow on May 29, locking market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome. This reflects a sharp cooldown driven by westerly winds and rain, which suppressed daytime highs following the record May heatwave earlier in the month when temperatures exceeded 30°C. Model consensus and station measurements converged on this value, with no significant revisions expected. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the positioning remain limited to minor discrepancies in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects, though the aggregated trader consensus backed by real capital indicates high confidence in the verified data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions