**Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as the highest temperature recorded at Vnukovo International Airport on September 9, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data aligning with official forecasts.** Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance and numerical weather models projected daytime maxima of 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds of 3–8 m/s, and stable pressure near 760 mmHg, with no precipitation. This outcome sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 17.7°C for the date yet remains well within historical variability. Market-implied odds near 100% for 21°C indicate traders view the station’s hourly readings as unlikely to deviate outside this narrow band. A material shift would require an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日莫斯科最高溫度？
9月9日莫斯科最高溫度？
21°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$33,437 交易量
$33,437 交易量
2026-09-09
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或以上
否
21°C 100.0%
14°C或以下 <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$33,437 交易量
$33,437 交易量
2026-09-09
14°C或以下
$296 交易量
否
15°C
$296 交易量
否
16°C
$1,468 交易量
否
17°C
$1,676 交易量
否
18°C
$1,003 交易量
否
19°C
$1,790 交易量
否
20°C
$6,258 交易量
否
21°C
$6,016 交易量
是
22°C
$8,000 交易量
否
23°C
$3,600 交易量
否
24°C或以上
$3,035 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as the highest temperature recorded at Vnukovo International Airport on September 9, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data aligning with official forecasts.** Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance and numerical weather models projected daytime maxima of 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds of 3–8 m/s, and stable pressure near 760 mmHg, with no precipitation. This outcome sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 17.7°C for the date yet remains well within historical variability. Market-implied odds near 100% for 21°C indicate traders view the station’s hourly readings as unlikely to deviate outside this narrow band. A material shift would require an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$33,437結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as the highest temperature recorded at Vnukovo International Airport on September 9, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data aligning with official forecasts.** Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance and numerical weather models projected daytime maxima of 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds of 3–8 m/s, and stable pressure near 760 mmHg, with no precipitation. This outcome sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 17.7°C for the date yet remains well within historical variability. Market-implied odds near 100% for 21°C indicate traders view the station’s hourly readings as unlikely to deviate outside this narrow band. A material shift would require an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,437結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus has converged on 21°C as the highest temperature recorded at Vnukovo International Airport on September 9, 2026, reflecting real-time observational data aligning with official forecasts.** Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance and numerical weather models projected daytime maxima of 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds of 3–8 m/s, and stable pressure near 760 mmHg, with no precipitation. This outcome sits above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 17.7°C for the date yet remains well within historical variability. Market-implied odds near 100% for 21°C indicate traders view the station’s hourly readings as unlikely to deviate outside this narrow band. A material shift would require an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions