Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly forecasts and real-time observations at Seoul's official station confirm a daytime maximum temperature of 20°C on May 13, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid mid-May climatological norms of 19–22°C highs. Persistent cloud cover has limited solar insolation and convective warming, capping peak heating despite light southerly winds, with aviation meteorology data aligning on 20°C through late afternoon. This reflects model agreement on stable upper-air conditions lacking triggers for intensification. Final KMA data release later today will resolve the market, though a realistic challenge could arise from abrupt clearing allowing a brief 1°C overshoot, improbable given current overcast persistence and no heat wave signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on May 13?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 13?
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$278,981 交易量
$278,981 交易量
2026-05-13
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$278,981 交易量
$278,981 交易量
2026-05-13
13°C or below
$10,717 交易量
No
14°C
$1,039 交易量
No
15°C
$9,965 交易量
No
16°C
$11,361 交易量
No
17°C
$20,455 交易量
No
18°C
$13,272 交易量
No
19°C
$17,022 交易量
No
20°C
$73,874 交易量
Yes
21°C
$35,315 交易量
No
22°C
$27,478 交易量
No
23°C or higher
$58,483 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly forecasts and real-time observations at Seoul's official station confirm a daytime maximum temperature of 20°C on May 13, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid mid-May climatological norms of 19–22°C highs. Persistent cloud cover has limited solar insolation and convective warming, capping peak heating despite light southerly winds, with aviation meteorology data aligning on 20°C through late afternoon. This reflects model agreement on stable upper-air conditions lacking triggers for intensification. Final KMA data release later today will resolve the market, though a realistic challenge could arise from abrupt clearing allowing a brief 1°C overshoot, improbable given current overcast persistence and no heat wave signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
交易量
$278,981結束日期
2026-05-13市場開放時間
May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly forecasts and real-time observations at Seoul's official station confirm a daytime maximum temperature of 20°C on May 13, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid mid-May climatological norms of 19–22°C highs. Persistent cloud cover has limited solar insolation and convective warming, capping peak heating despite light southerly winds, with aviation meteorology data aligning on 20°C through late afternoon. This reflects model agreement on stable upper-air conditions lacking triggers for intensification. Final KMA data release later today will resolve the market, though a realistic challenge could arise from abrupt clearing allowing a brief 1°C overshoot, improbable given current overcast persistence and no heat wave signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$278,981結束日期
2026-05-13市場開放時間
May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly forecasts and real-time observations at Seoul's official station confirm a daytime maximum temperature of 20°C on May 13, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome amid mid-May climatological norms of 19–22°C highs. Persistent cloud cover has limited solar insolation and convective warming, capping peak heating despite light southerly winds, with aviation meteorology data aligning on 20°C through late afternoon. This reflects model agreement on stable upper-air conditions lacking triggers for intensification. Final KMA data release later today will resolve the market, though a realistic challenge could arise from abrupt clearing allowing a brief 1°C overshoot, improbable given current overcast persistence and no heat wave signals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions