Traders have driven the "33°C" outcome for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 25, 2026, to near-certain implied probability based on consistent meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models. These point to a daytime maximum near 32–33°C under typical late-May subtropical conditions, including moderate southerly flow from the South China Sea, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that supports peak heating without extreme outliers. Seasonal climatology reinforces this positioning, with May averages around 30–32°C and rare excursions beyond 34°C absent strong high-pressure systems or urban heat island amplification. A realistic scenario that could challenge the market consensus would involve a sharper-than-expected diurnal rise from clearer skies or localized wind shifts, potentially pushing an official station reading to 34°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 25?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 25?
33°C 99.6%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$255,996 交易量
$255,996 交易量
2026-05-25
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 99.6%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$255,996 交易量
$255,996 交易量
2026-05-25
25°C or below
$391 交易量
No
26°C
$602 交易量
No
27°C
$439 交易量
No
28°C
$1,694 交易量
No
29°C
$96,642 交易量
No
30°C
$19,039 交易量
No
31°C
$8,227 交易量
No
32°C
$10,429 交易量
No
33°C
$73,762 交易量
Yes
34°C
$32,462 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$12,310 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have driven the "33°C" outcome for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 25, 2026, to near-certain implied probability based on consistent meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models. These point to a daytime maximum near 32–33°C under typical late-May subtropical conditions, including moderate southerly flow from the South China Sea, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that supports peak heating without extreme outliers. Seasonal climatology reinforces this positioning, with May averages around 30–32°C and rare excursions beyond 34°C absent strong high-pressure systems or urban heat island amplification. A realistic scenario that could challenge the market consensus would involve a sharper-than-expected diurnal rise from clearer skies or localized wind shifts, potentially pushing an official station reading to 34°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 23, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$255,996結束日期
2026-05-25市場開放時間
May 23, 2026, 12:15 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have driven the "33°C" outcome for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 25, 2026, to near-certain implied probability based on consistent meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models. These point to a daytime maximum near 32–33°C under typical late-May subtropical conditions, including moderate southerly flow from the South China Sea, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that supports peak heating without extreme outliers. Seasonal climatology reinforces this positioning, with May averages around 30–32°C and rare excursions beyond 34°C absent strong high-pressure systems or urban heat island amplification. A realistic scenario that could challenge the market consensus would involve a sharper-than-expected diurnal rise from clearer skies or localized wind shifts, potentially pushing an official station reading to 34°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$255,996結束日期
2026-05-25市場開放時間
May 23, 2026, 12:15 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders have driven the "33°C" outcome for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 25, 2026, to near-certain implied probability based on consistent meteorological guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and ensemble models. These point to a daytime maximum near 32–33°C under typical late-May subtropical conditions, including moderate southerly flow from the South China Sea, high humidity, and limited cloud cover that supports peak heating without extreme outliers. Seasonal climatology reinforces this positioning, with May averages around 30–32°C and rare excursions beyond 34°C absent strong high-pressure systems or urban heat island amplification. A realistic scenario that could challenge the market consensus would involve a sharper-than-expected diurnal rise from clearer skies or localized wind shifts, potentially pushing an official station reading to 34°C before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions