Current forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models supports a daytime maximum of 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and seasonal sea-breeze moderation without anomalous heat advection. This alignment of verified observational baselines, model runs, and climatological norms—where August averages hover near 30–32°C—has driven near-certain market-implied odds on 33°C. Minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, coastal wind shifts, or localized urban heat effects could still nudge the official peak across the narrow threshold, though no recent model updates indicate such divergence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
8月15日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
$26,523 交易量
$26,523 交易量
2026-08-15
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
30°C or below <1%
$26,523 交易量
$26,523 交易量
2026-08-15
30°C or below
$488 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,923 交易量
<1%
32°C
$5,076 交易量
<1%
33°C
$8,293 交易量
100%
34°C
$4,207 交易量
<1%
35°C
$2,309 交易量
<1%
36°C
$1,163 交易量
<1%
37°C
$1,167 交易量
<1%
38°C
$945 交易量
<1%
39°C
$288 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$666 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models supports a daytime maximum of 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and seasonal sea-breeze moderation without anomalous heat advection. This alignment of verified observational baselines, model runs, and climatological norms—where August averages hover near 30–32°C—has driven near-certain market-implied odds on 33°C. Minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, coastal wind shifts, or localized urban heat effects could still nudge the official peak across the narrow threshold, though no recent model updates indicate such divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$26,523結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models supports a daytime maximum of 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and seasonal sea-breeze moderation without anomalous heat advection. This alignment of verified observational baselines, model runs, and climatological norms—where August averages hover near 30–32°C—has driven near-certain market-implied odds on 33°C. Minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, coastal wind shifts, or localized urban heat effects could still nudge the official peak across the narrow threshold, though no recent model updates indicate such divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,523結束日期
2026-08-15市場開放時間
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models supports a daytime maximum of 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and seasonal sea-breeze moderation without anomalous heat advection. This alignment of verified observational baselines, model runs, and climatological norms—where August averages hover near 30–32°C—has driven near-certain market-implied odds on 33°C. Minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, coastal wind shifts, or localized urban heat effects could still nudge the official peak across the narrow threshold, though no recent model updates indicate such divergence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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