Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65% of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican nominee Tommy Hanson prevailed in a low-turnout GOP primary. The Illinois 5th District, encompassing northern Chicago neighborhoods and northwest suburbs, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Quigley's established fundraising advantage and committee role on appropriations further bolster his position ahead of the November 3 general election. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the race, though current indicators show limited pathways for the challenger to close the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$25,272 交易量
$25,272 交易量
2026-11-02
麥克·奎格利（民主黨）
95%
湯米·漢森（共和黨）
5%
$25,272 交易量
$25,272 交易量
2026-11-02
麥克·奎格利（民主黨）
$8,976 交易量
95%
湯米·漢森（共和黨）
$16,296 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65% of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican nominee Tommy Hanson prevailed in a low-turnout GOP primary. The Illinois 5th District, encompassing northern Chicago neighborhoods and northwest suburbs, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Quigley's established fundraising advantage and committee role on appropriations further bolster his position ahead of the November 3 general election. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the race, though current indicators show limited pathways for the challenger to close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$25,272結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65% of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican nominee Tommy Hanson prevailed in a low-turnout GOP primary. The Illinois 5th District, encompassing northern Chicago neighborhoods and northwest suburbs, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Quigley's established fundraising advantage and committee role on appropriations further bolster his position ahead of the November 3 general election. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the race, though current indicators show limited pathways for the challenger to close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,272結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65% of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican nominee Tommy Hanson prevailed in a low-turnout GOP primary. The Illinois 5th District, encompassing northern Chicago neighborhoods and northwest suburbs, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Quigley's established fundraising advantage and committee role on appropriations further bolster his position ahead of the November 3 general election. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national political shift could theoretically alter the race, though current indicators show limited pathways for the challenger to close the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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