Incumbent Jim Baird holds a commanding lead in Indiana's 4th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican performance and his established position. Baird secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 60 percent of the vote and benefits from strong fundraising and endorsements aligned with the district's west-central Indiana electorate. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with Baird's prior victories exceeding 60 percent. Drew Cox, the Democratic nominee following a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts could narrow the margin, though current conditions show limited volatility heading into the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$12,564 交易量
$12,564 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·貝爾德（共和黨）
94%
德魯·考克斯（民主黨）
6%
$12,564 交易量
$12,564 交易量
2026-11-02
吉姆·貝爾德（共和黨）
$9,248 交易量
94%
德魯·考克斯（民主黨）
$3,316 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Baird holds a commanding lead in Indiana's 4th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican performance and his established position. Baird secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 60 percent of the vote and benefits from strong fundraising and endorsements aligned with the district's west-central Indiana electorate. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with Baird's prior victories exceeding 60 percent. Drew Cox, the Democratic nominee following a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts could narrow the margin, though current conditions show limited volatility heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$12,564結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Baird holds a commanding lead in Indiana's 4th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican performance and his established position. Baird secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 60 percent of the vote and benefits from strong fundraising and endorsements aligned with the district's west-central Indiana electorate. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with Baird's prior victories exceeding 60 percent. Drew Cox, the Democratic nominee following a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts could narrow the margin, though current conditions show limited volatility heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,564結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Jim Baird holds a commanding lead in Indiana's 4th Congressional District, reflecting the seat's consistent Republican performance and his established position. Baird secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 60 percent of the vote and benefits from strong fundraising and endorsements aligned with the district's west-central Indiana electorate. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with Baird's prior victories exceeding 60 percent. Drew Cox, the Democratic nominee following a fragmented primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts could narrow the margin, though current conditions show limited volatility heading into the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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