**Trader sentiment for Denver's August 21 lowest temperature centers on pre-dawn radiative cooling rates following the record 100°F high at Denver International Airport.** Model runs and historical analogs under a persistent heat dome pointed to efficient overnight heat loss, with consensus lows clustering in the mid-60s°F at the official station—aligning with the closely matched 66-67°F (55.5%), 64-65°F (46.0%), and 62-63°F (43.5%) outcomes. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud cover timing (which limits longwave radiation escape), boundary-layer wind speeds (light southeast flow reduces mixing), and the urban heat island contrast versus airport sensors. Normal lows near 57°F and the day's above-average humidity slightly tempered extreme cooling, keeping sub-60°F odds minimal at 0.4%. Resolution will hinge on the final NWS climate summary confirming the observed minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日丹佛的最低溫度？
8月21日丹佛的最低溫度？
66-67°F 99.5%
60-61°F 1.0%
62-63°F 1.0%
64-65°F 1.0%
$2,594 交易量
$2,594 交易量
2026-08-21
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
66-67°F 99.5%
60-61°F 1.0%
62-63°F 1.0%
64-65°F 1.0%
$2,594 交易量
$2,594 交易量
2026-08-21
59°F or below
$176 交易量
No
60-61°F
$182 交易量
No
62-63°F
$32 交易量
No
64-65°F
$25 交易量
No
66-67°F
$140 交易量
Yes
68-69°F
$157 交易量
No
70-71°F
$483 交易量
No
72-73°F
$503 交易量
No
74-75°F
$303 交易量
No
76-77°F
$403 交易量
No
78°F or higher
$190 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Denver's August 21 lowest temperature centers on pre-dawn radiative cooling rates following the record 100°F high at Denver International Airport.** Model runs and historical analogs under a persistent heat dome pointed to efficient overnight heat loss, with consensus lows clustering in the mid-60s°F at the official station—aligning with the closely matched 66-67°F (55.5%), 64-65°F (46.0%), and 62-63°F (43.5%) outcomes. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud cover timing (which limits longwave radiation escape), boundary-layer wind speeds (light southeast flow reduces mixing), and the urban heat island contrast versus airport sensors. Normal lows near 57°F and the day's above-average humidity slightly tempered extreme cooling, keeping sub-60°F odds minimal at 0.4%. Resolution will hinge on the final NWS climate summary confirming the observed minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$2,594結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Denver's August 21 lowest temperature centers on pre-dawn radiative cooling rates following the record 100°F high at Denver International Airport.** Model runs and historical analogs under a persistent heat dome pointed to efficient overnight heat loss, with consensus lows clustering in the mid-60s°F at the official station—aligning with the closely matched 66-67°F (55.5%), 64-65°F (46.0%), and 62-63°F (43.5%) outcomes. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud cover timing (which limits longwave radiation escape), boundary-layer wind speeds (light southeast flow reduces mixing), and the urban heat island contrast versus airport sensors. Normal lows near 57°F and the day's above-average humidity slightly tempered extreme cooling, keeping sub-60°F odds minimal at 0.4%. Resolution will hinge on the final NWS climate summary confirming the observed minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,594結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader sentiment for Denver's August 21 lowest temperature centers on pre-dawn radiative cooling rates following the record 100°F high at Denver International Airport.** Model runs and historical analogs under a persistent heat dome pointed to efficient overnight heat loss, with consensus lows clustering in the mid-60s°F at the official station—aligning with the closely matched 66-67°F (55.5%), 64-65°F (46.0%), and 62-63°F (43.5%) outcomes. Key differentiating factors include exact cloud cover timing (which limits longwave radiation escape), boundary-layer wind speeds (light southeast flow reduces mixing), and the urban heat island contrast versus airport sensors. Normal lows near 57°F and the day's above-average humidity slightly tempered extreme cooling, keeping sub-60°F odds minimal at 0.4%. Resolution will hinge on the final NWS climate summary confirming the observed minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions