Trader consensus has converged at 100% on 70-71°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on September 9, driven by verified overnight observations from the National Weather Service station in Central Park. Under a dominant high-pressure system with minimal cloud cover and light winds, radiative cooling produced minimum readings in this narrow band, consistent with regional model outputs and surface data. Early September climatology for the Northeast typically features lows near 65°F, so this outcome reflects near-normal conditions without anomalous cold advection. Resolution hinges on official NWS minimums, leaving little room for revision unless post-analysis uncovers sensor errors or station relocation effects, scenarios with low historical precedent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日紐約市的最低溫度？
9月9日紐約市的最低溫度？
70-71°F 100.0%
華氏61度或以下 <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$13,993 交易量
$13,993 交易量
2026-09-09
華氏61度或以下
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
是
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
華氏80度或以上
否
70-71°F 100.0%
華氏61度或以下 <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$13,993 交易量
$13,993 交易量
2026-09-09
華氏61度或以下
$470 交易量
否
62-63°F
$467 交易量
否
64-65°F
$438 交易量
否
66-67°F
$1,166 交易量
否
68-69°F
$2,021 交易量
否
70-71°F
$4,561 交易量
是
72-73°F
$2,062 交易量
否
74-75°F
$317 交易量
否
76-77°F
$281 交易量
否
78-79°F
$1,073 交易量
否
華氏80度或以上
$1,138 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged at 100% on 70-71°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on September 9, driven by verified overnight observations from the National Weather Service station in Central Park. Under a dominant high-pressure system with minimal cloud cover and light winds, radiative cooling produced minimum readings in this narrow band, consistent with regional model outputs and surface data. Early September climatology for the Northeast typically features lows near 65°F, so this outcome reflects near-normal conditions without anomalous cold advection. Resolution hinges on official NWS minimums, leaving little room for revision unless post-analysis uncovers sensor errors or station relocation effects, scenarios with low historical precedent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$13,993結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged at 100% on 70-71°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on September 9, driven by verified overnight observations from the National Weather Service station in Central Park. Under a dominant high-pressure system with minimal cloud cover and light winds, radiative cooling produced minimum readings in this narrow band, consistent with regional model outputs and surface data. Early September climatology for the Northeast typically features lows near 65°F, so this outcome reflects near-normal conditions without anomalous cold advection. Resolution hinges on official NWS minimums, leaving little room for revision unless post-analysis uncovers sensor errors or station relocation effects, scenarios with low historical precedent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,993結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus has converged at 100% on 70-71°F as the lowest temperature in New York City on September 9, driven by verified overnight observations from the National Weather Service station in Central Park. Under a dominant high-pressure system with minimal cloud cover and light winds, radiative cooling produced minimum readings in this narrow band, consistent with regional model outputs and surface data. Early September climatology for the Northeast typically features lows near 65°F, so this outcome reflects near-normal conditions without anomalous cold advection. Resolution hinges on official NWS minimums, leaving little room for revision unless post-analysis uncovers sensor errors or station relocation effects, scenarios with low historical precedent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions