Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a minimum temperature of 26°C in Tokyo on August 24, 2026, amid persistent summer heat with daytime highs near 35°C, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that limit overnight cooling. Official model runs show stable clear to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk, aligning observed trends and climatological baselines for late August. This drives the market-implied consensus at 26°C. Late-day shifts in cloud cover, unexpected showers, or model revisions from additional observational data could introduce minor uncertainty, though current consensus across agencies remains tight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日東京最低溫度？
8月24日東京最低溫度？
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$7,559 交易量
$7,559 交易量
2026-08-24
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$7,559 交易量
$7,559 交易量
2026-08-24
19°C or below
$210 交易量
No
20°C
$140 交易量
No
21°C
$350 交易量
No
22°C
$721 交易量
No
23°C
$1,512 交易量
No
24°C
$634 交易量
No
25°C
$1,516 交易量
No
26°C
$1,383 交易量
Yes
27°C
$657 交易量
No
28°C
$295 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$140 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a minimum temperature of 26°C in Tokyo on August 24, 2026, amid persistent summer heat with daytime highs near 35°C, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that limit overnight cooling. Official model runs show stable clear to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk, aligning observed trends and climatological baselines for late August. This drives the market-implied consensus at 26°C. Late-day shifts in cloud cover, unexpected showers, or model revisions from additional observational data could introduce minor uncertainty, though current consensus across agencies remains tight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$7,559結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a minimum temperature of 26°C in Tokyo on August 24, 2026, amid persistent summer heat with daytime highs near 35°C, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that limit overnight cooling. Official model runs show stable clear to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk, aligning observed trends and climatological baselines for late August. This drives the market-implied consensus at 26°C. Late-day shifts in cloud cover, unexpected showers, or model revisions from additional observational data could introduce minor uncertainty, though current consensus across agencies remains tight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,559結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a minimum temperature of 26°C in Tokyo on August 24, 2026, amid persistent summer heat with daytime highs near 35°C, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that limit overnight cooling. Official model runs show stable clear to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk, aligning observed trends and climatological baselines for late August. This drives the market-implied consensus at 26°C. Late-day shifts in cloud cover, unexpected showers, or model revisions from additional observational data could introduce minor uncertainty, though current consensus across agencies remains tight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions