**Strong trader consensus around a delayed IPO timeline drives the 64% implied probability on no listing before 2028.** Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly stated since at least June 2026 that the company plans to pursue an IPO in 2028 regardless of how earlier AI offerings from OpenAI and Anthropic perform, allowing more time to scale its conversational search platform and AI agent capabilities. Recent reports from late August 2026 show Nvidia in talks for a new round that could value the startup above $30 billion—more than 50% higher than its September 2025 financing—supported by annualized revenue exceeding $750 million, up sharply from under $250 million at the start of the year thanks to products like Perplexity Computer. These private-market dynamics, combined with the absence of any S-1 filings or accelerated timeline signals, position lower market-cap outcomes as less likely while reinforcing the market’s view that Perplexity will remain private through at least 2027 to strengthen its competitive position against larger AI labs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於困惑IPO收市市值
困惑IPO收市市值
2028年前不上市 64%
低於 200 億 7.8%
500 億–750 億 7.2%
750 億–1,000 億 6.8%
$147,414 交易量
$147,414 交易量
2027-12-30
低於 200 億
8%
200億–300億
5%
300 億–400 億
5%
400 億—500 億
2%
500 億–750 億
7%
750 億–1,000 億
7%
1000 億+
5%
2028年前不上市
64%
2028年前不上市 64%
低於 200 億 7.8%
500 億–750 億 7.2%
750 億–1,000 億 6.8%
$147,414 交易量
$147,414 交易量
2027-12-30
低於 200 億
$4,881 交易量
8%
200億–300億
$7,893 交易量
5%
300 億–400 億
$4,860 交易量
5%
400 億—500 億
$4,595 交易量
2%
500 億–750 億
$6,893 交易量
7%
750 億–1,000 億
$3,857 交易量
7%
1000 億+
$5,408 交易量
5%
2028年前不上市
$109,028 交易量
64%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Strong trader consensus around a delayed IPO timeline drives the 64% implied probability on no listing before 2028.** Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly stated since at least June 2026 that the company plans to pursue an IPO in 2028 regardless of how earlier AI offerings from OpenAI and Anthropic perform, allowing more time to scale its conversational search platform and AI agent capabilities. Recent reports from late August 2026 show Nvidia in talks for a new round that could value the startup above $30 billion—more than 50% higher than its September 2025 financing—supported by annualized revenue exceeding $750 million, up sharply from under $250 million at the start of the year thanks to products like Perplexity Computer. These private-market dynamics, combined with the absence of any S-1 filings or accelerated timeline signals, position lower market-cap outcomes as less likely while reinforcing the market’s view that Perplexity will remain private through at least 2027 to strengthen its competitive position against larger AI labs.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
交易量
$147,414結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Strong trader consensus around a delayed IPO timeline drives the 64% implied probability on no listing before 2028.** Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly stated since at least June 2026 that the company plans to pursue an IPO in 2028 regardless of how earlier AI offerings from OpenAI and Anthropic perform, allowing more time to scale its conversational search platform and AI agent capabilities. Recent reports from late August 2026 show Nvidia in talks for a new round that could value the startup above $30 billion—more than 50% higher than its September 2025 financing—supported by annualized revenue exceeding $750 million, up sharply from under $250 million at the start of the year thanks to products like Perplexity Computer. These private-market dynamics, combined with the absence of any S-1 filings or accelerated timeline signals, position lower market-cap outcomes as less likely while reinforcing the market’s view that Perplexity will remain private through at least 2027 to strengthen its competitive position against larger AI labs.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$147,414結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Strong trader consensus around a delayed IPO timeline drives the 64% implied probability on no listing before 2028.** Perplexity CEO Aravind Srinivas has repeatedly stated since at least June 2026 that the company plans to pursue an IPO in 2028 regardless of how earlier AI offerings from OpenAI and Anthropic perform, allowing more time to scale its conversational search platform and AI agent capabilities. Recent reports from late August 2026 show Nvidia in talks for a new round that could value the startup above $30 billion—more than 50% higher than its September 2025 financing—supported by annualized revenue exceeding $750 million, up sharply from under $250 million at the start of the year thanks to products like Perplexity Computer. These private-market dynamics, combined with the absence of any S-1 filings or accelerated timeline signals, position lower market-cap outcomes as less likely while reinforcing the market’s view that Perplexity will remain private through at least 2027 to strengthen its competitive position against larger AI labs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions