Recent U.S. trade data show the goods and services deficit widening to $88.6 billion in July 2026 from $71.2 billion in June, driven by a 2.8% rise in imports of computers, semiconductors, and related capital goods tied to AI infrastructure, alongside a 2.1% drop in exports including crude oil and gold. Year-to-date through July the cumulative shortfall has narrowed nearly 30% versus 2025 levels as 2025 tariff front-loading unwinds, yet monthly volatility and persistent AI import demand keep the full-year outcome contested between the 700–800 billion and 800–900 billion ranges. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the net impact of ongoing tariff measures, potential further policy shifts, and the durability of semiconductor and electronics inflows, with August figures due October 6 offering the next key data point.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,106 交易量
$24,106 交易量
2027-02-27
少於5000億
4%
5000–6000億
6%
6,000–7,000億
10%
7000億–8000億
39%
8,000億–9,000億
42%
9,000億–1兆
13%
1兆–1.1兆
5%
1.1兆以上
5%
$24,106 交易量
$24,106 交易量
2027-02-27
少於5000億
$16,854 交易量
4%
5000–6000億
$454 交易量
6%
6,000–7,000億
$543 交易量
10%
7000億–8000億
$670 交易量
39%
8,000億–9,000億
$1,529 交易量
42%
9,000億–1兆
$1,469 交易量
13%
1兆–1.1兆
$1,468 交易量
5%
1.1兆以上
$1,119 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent U.S. trade data show the goods and services deficit widening to $88.6 billion in July 2026 from $71.2 billion in June, driven by a 2.8% rise in imports of computers, semiconductors, and related capital goods tied to AI infrastructure, alongside a 2.1% drop in exports including crude oil and gold. Year-to-date through July the cumulative shortfall has narrowed nearly 30% versus 2025 levels as 2025 tariff front-loading unwinds, yet monthly volatility and persistent AI import demand keep the full-year outcome contested between the 700–800 billion and 800–900 billion ranges. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the net impact of ongoing tariff measures, potential further policy shifts, and the durability of semiconductor and electronics inflows, with August figures due October 6 offering the next key data point.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
交易量
$24,106結束日期
2027-02-28市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent U.S. trade data show the goods and services deficit widening to $88.6 billion in July 2026 from $71.2 billion in June, driven by a 2.8% rise in imports of computers, semiconductors, and related capital goods tied to AI infrastructure, alongside a 2.1% drop in exports including crude oil and gold. Year-to-date through July the cumulative shortfall has narrowed nearly 30% versus 2025 levels as 2025 tariff front-loading unwinds, yet monthly volatility and persistent AI import demand keep the full-year outcome contested between the 700–800 billion and 800–900 billion ranges. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the net impact of ongoing tariff measures, potential further policy shifts, and the durability of semiconductor and electronics inflows, with August figures due October 6 offering the next key data point.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
交易量
$24,106結束日期
2027-02-28市場開放時間
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETRecent U.S. trade data show the goods and services deficit widening to $88.6 billion in July 2026 from $71.2 billion in June, driven by a 2.8% rise in imports of computers, semiconductors, and related capital goods tied to AI infrastructure, alongside a 2.1% drop in exports including crude oil and gold. Year-to-date through July the cumulative shortfall has narrowed nearly 30% versus 2025 levels as 2025 tariff front-loading unwinds, yet monthly volatility and persistent AI import demand keep the full-year outcome contested between the 700–800 billion and 800–900 billion ranges. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over the net impact of ongoing tariff measures, potential further policy shifts, and the durability of semiconductor and electronics inflows, with August figures due October 6 offering the next key data point.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions