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icon for 在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级?

在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级?

icon for 在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级?

在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级?

14% 概率
Polymarket

$13,112 交易量

14% 概率
Polymarket

$13,112 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P and Fitch of the US sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks reflect expectations of resilient economic growth, steady revenue collection including from tariffs, and high but stable fiscal deficits through at least 2027. Moody’s 2025 downgrade brought all three agencies to the same level, yet none currently signal further near-term action. The debt limit, raised substantially in 2025, faces contact only in 2027, with historical precedent for timely congressional resolution that avoids default or rating pressure. These factors underpin trader consensus that another downgrade is unlikely before the end of 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$13,112
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P and Fitch of the US sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks reflect expectations of resilient economic growth, steady revenue collection including from tariffs, and high but stable fiscal deficits through at least 2027. Moody’s 2025 downgrade brought all three agencies to the same level, yet none currently signal further near-term action. The debt limit, raised substantially in 2025, faces contact only in 2027, with historical precedent for timely congressional resolution that avoids default or rating pressure. These factors underpin trader consensus that another downgrade is unlikely before the end of 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$13,112
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET

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常见问题

"在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2027年之前美国债务会再次被下调评级吗?",概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 14¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 14%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级?"已产生 $13.1K 的总交易量(自Nov 5, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级?"的当前领先者是"2027年之前美国债务会再次被下调评级吗?",概率为 14%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"在2027年之前再次下调美国债务评级?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。