Canada’s federal government’s 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan sharply reduced temporary resident targets, including 49% fewer new international students and 37% fewer temporary workers, while stabilizing permanent resident admissions near 380,000 annually. This policy shift has produced sustained net outflows of non-permanent residents, driving three consecutive quarterly population declines through April 2026 according to Statistics Canada estimates. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat overall growth for the full year, following an already-recorded annual contraction. These official actions, aimed at easing housing and service pressures from prior rapid inflows, underpin trader expectations that total population will finish the year lower than it began.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于上升
上升
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Canada’s federal government’s 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan sharply reduced temporary resident targets, including 49% fewer new international students and 37% fewer temporary workers, while stabilizing permanent resident admissions near 380,000 annually. This policy shift has produced sustained net outflows of non-permanent residents, driving three consecutive quarterly population declines through April 2026 according to Statistics Canada estimates. Parliamentary Budget Officer projections indicate flat overall growth for the full year, following an already-recorded annual contraction. These official actions, aimed at easing housing and service pressures from prior rapid inflows, underpin trader expectations that total population will finish the year lower than it began.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题