Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 80-81°F (37.5% implied probability) slightly over 82-83°F (30.5%) for Atlanta's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting a dominant high-pressure ridge over the Southeast per National Weather Service Atlanta/Peachtree City guidance, which supports subsidence, mostly clear skies, and highs climbing into the mid-80s—12-15°F above the 70°F climatological normal. Differentiating factors include subtle model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, with some runs indicating isolated afternoon convection or slight boundary layer mixing could cap peak heating at 80-81°F, while stronger ridge amplitude pushes toward 82-83°F. NOAA's spring outlook reinforces above-normal temperatures; watch for 12Z model updates and NWS afternoon revisions resolving uncertainty before tomorrow's diurnal maximum at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 4?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 4?
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 31%
84°F or higher 16%
78-79°F 14%
$20,043 交易量
$20,043 交易量
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
31%
84°F or higher
16%
80-81°F 36%
82-83°F 31%
84°F or higher 16%
78-79°F 14%
$20,043 交易量
$20,043 交易量
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
31%
84°F or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 80-81°F (37.5% implied probability) slightly over 82-83°F (30.5%) for Atlanta's highest temperature on April 4, reflecting a dominant high-pressure ridge over the Southeast per National Weather Service Atlanta/Peachtree City guidance, which supports subsidence, mostly clear skies, and highs climbing into the mid-80s—12-15°F above the 70°F climatological normal. Differentiating factors include subtle model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles, with some runs indicating isolated afternoon convection or slight boundary layer mixing could cap peak heating at 80-81°F, while stronger ridge amplitude pushes toward 82-83°F. NOAA's spring outlook reinforces above-normal temperatures; watch for 12Z model updates and NWS afternoon revisions resolving uncertainty before tomorrow's diurnal maximum at Hartsfield-Jackson Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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