Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Guangzhou on April 25, driven by China Meteorological Administration observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport recording peak afternoon readings of exactly 30°C under sunny skies, light winds, and springtime subsidence from a subtropical high-pressure ridge. This aligns with pre-day forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs near 30°C following thunderstorms that capped April 24 at 22°C. Historical April climatology supports such peaks, with average highs around 26°C but frequent 30°C outliers in clear conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 31°C or measurement revisions, though evening cooling to 20-22°C minimizes risks; final daily summary expected soon from CMA.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 25?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 25?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$121,209 交易量
$121,209 交易量
2026-04-25
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$121,209 交易量
$121,209 交易量
2026-04-25
24°C or below
$3,265 交易量
No
25°C
$2,759 交易量
No
26°C
$4,920 交易量
No
27°C
$7,061 交易量
No
28°C
$8,191 交易量
No
29°C
$65,614 交易量
No
30°C
$11,238 交易量
Yes
31°C
$6,608 交易量
No
32°C
$4,222 交易量
No
33°C
$3,398 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$3,932 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Guangzhou on April 25, driven by China Meteorological Administration observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport recording peak afternoon readings of exactly 30°C under sunny skies, light winds, and springtime subsidence from a subtropical high-pressure ridge. This aligns with pre-day forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs near 30°C following thunderstorms that capped April 24 at 22°C. Historical April climatology supports such peaks, with average highs around 26°C but frequent 30°C outliers in clear conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 31°C or measurement revisions, though evening cooling to 20-22°C minimizes risks; final daily summary expected soon from CMA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 23, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$121,209结束日期
2026-04-25市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Guangzhou on April 25, driven by China Meteorological Administration observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport recording peak afternoon readings of exactly 30°C under sunny skies, light winds, and springtime subsidence from a subtropical high-pressure ridge. This aligns with pre-day forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs near 30°C following thunderstorms that capped April 24 at 22°C. Historical April climatology supports such peaks, with average highs around 26°C but frequent 30°C outliers in clear conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 31°C or measurement revisions, though evening cooling to 20-22°C minimizes risks; final daily summary expected soon from CMA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$121,209结束日期
2026-04-25市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Guangzhou on April 25, driven by China Meteorological Administration observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport recording peak afternoon readings of exactly 30°C under sunny skies, light winds, and springtime subsidence from a subtropical high-pressure ridge. This aligns with pre-day forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected highs near 30°C following thunderstorms that capped April 24 at 22°C. Historical April climatology supports such peaks, with average highs around 26°C but frequent 30°C outliers in clear conditions. Realistic challenges include a rare late-afternoon heat burst exceeding 31°C or measurement revisions, though evening cooling to 20-22°C minimizes risks; final daily summary expected soon from CMA.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题