Consensus forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models project a high near 30°C in Jinan on September 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds. Persistent high pressure and dry conditions have maintained above-average warmth, exceeding the September climatological mean of roughly 26–29°C. This scientific consensus underpins the market-implied 94% probability for 26°C or higher. Short-range predictability is high, though an unforecasted frontal shift or model bias could lower readings below the threshold, albeit with low likelihood given current observational trends and ensemble agreement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日济南气温最高?
26°C or higher 94%
25°C 9%
21°C 4%
22°C 4%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
94%
26°C or higher 94%
25°C 9%
21°C 4%
22°C 4%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Consensus forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models project a high near 30°C in Jinan on September 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies with light northeasterly winds. Persistent high pressure and dry conditions have maintained above-average warmth, exceeding the September climatological mean of roughly 26–29°C. This scientific consensus underpins the market-implied 94% probability for 26°C or higher. Short-range predictability is high, though an unforecasted frontal shift or model bias could lower readings below the threshold, albeit with low likelihood given current observational trends and ensemble agreement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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