Recent official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models project clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Jinan on September 2, supporting overnight radiative cooling from daytime highs near 29–30°C but limiting extreme drops due to a persistent warm air mass and low humidity. Multiple sources converge on minimum temperatures of 15–19°C, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows fall around 16–18°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48% implied probability for 22°C or higher alongside clustered odds near 25–26% for 15–19°C, appears driven by model consensus on mild steering patterns and minimal frontal activity, with negligible weight on colder outcomes below 14°C given current observational trends. Updated model runs and official minimum readings on the day will provide key resolution data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日济南最低气温?
22°C或更高 96%
14°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
12°C或以下
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
50%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C或更高
96%
22°C或更高 96%
14°C 50%
20°C 50%
21°C 50%
12°C或以下
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
50%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C或更高
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 1, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models project clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Jinan on September 2, supporting overnight radiative cooling from daytime highs near 29–30°C but limiting extreme drops due to a persistent warm air mass and low humidity. Multiple sources converge on minimum temperatures of 15–19°C, consistent with early-September climatology where average lows fall around 16–18°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 48% implied probability for 22°C or higher alongside clustered odds near 25–26% for 15–19°C, appears driven by model consensus on mild steering patterns and minimal frontal activity, with negligible weight on colder outcomes below 14°C given current observational trends. Updated model runs and official minimum readings on the day will provide key resolution data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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