**Trader consensus centers on a 31–33°C high for Lucknow on September 14, with 32°C leading at 40.5% implied probability.** This reflects short-range model guidance and India Meteorological Department (IMD) outlooks showing daytime maxima suppressed by increasing cloud cover, thundery development, and scattered rain or showers during the retreating monsoon phase. Easterly winds and high humidity (often 70–85%) limit daytime heating while favoring convective activity, consistent with late-September climatology for the region. Recent days have seen actual highs of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies; forecasts for the 14th cluster between 31–34°C across sources, with several indicating 31–32°C amid 50–80% storm chances. Higher outcomes (34°C+) carry lower odds due to expected rainfall cooling effects, while cooler readings below 30°C remain unlikely without widespread overcast or heavier precipitation. Key upcoming catalysts include updated IMD briefings and global model runs (GFS/ECMWF) that could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture influx change. Market-implied odds align with this evidence-based range rather than drier, clearer scenarios that would push maxima higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日勒克瑙的最高温度？
9月14日勒克瑙的最高温度？
32°C 41%
31°C 23%
33°C 21%
30°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
10%
31°C
23%
32°C
41%
33°C
21%
34℃
7%
35°C或更高
5%
32°C 41%
31°C 23%
33°C 21%
30°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
25°C或以下
$423 交易量
1%
26°C
$303 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
3%
29°C
$0 交易量
5%
30°C
$12 交易量
10%
31°C
$32 交易量
23%
32°C
$17 交易量
41%
33°C
$50 交易量
21%
34℃
$0 交易量
7%
35°C或更高
$6 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 31–33°C high for Lucknow on September 14, with 32°C leading at 40.5% implied probability.** This reflects short-range model guidance and India Meteorological Department (IMD) outlooks showing daytime maxima suppressed by increasing cloud cover, thundery development, and scattered rain or showers during the retreating monsoon phase.
Easterly winds and high humidity (often 70–85%) limit daytime heating while favoring convective activity, consistent with late-September climatology for the region. Recent days have seen actual highs of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies; forecasts for the 14th cluster between 31–34°C across sources, with several indicating 31–32°C amid 50–80% storm chances. Higher outcomes (34°C+) carry lower odds due to expected rainfall cooling effects, while cooler readings below 30°C remain unlikely without widespread overcast or heavier precipitation.
Key upcoming catalysts include updated IMD briefings and global model runs (GFS/ECMWF) that could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture influx change. Market-implied odds align with this evidence-based range rather than drier, clearer scenarios that would push maxima higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$843结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 31–33°C high for Lucknow on September 14, with 32°C leading at 40.5% implied probability.** This reflects short-range model guidance and India Meteorological Department (IMD) outlooks showing daytime maxima suppressed by increasing cloud cover, thundery development, and scattered rain or showers during the retreating monsoon phase.
Easterly winds and high humidity (often 70–85%) limit daytime heating while favoring convective activity, consistent with late-September climatology for the region. Recent days have seen actual highs of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies; forecasts for the 14th cluster between 31–34°C across sources, with several indicating 31–32°C amid 50–80% storm chances. Higher outcomes (34°C+) carry lower odds due to expected rainfall cooling effects, while cooler readings below 30°C remain unlikely without widespread overcast or heavier precipitation.
Key upcoming catalysts include updated IMD briefings and global model runs (GFS/ECMWF) that could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture influx change. Market-implied odds align with this evidence-based range rather than drier, clearer scenarios that would push maxima higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$843结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Trader consensus centers on a 31–33°C high for Lucknow on September 14, with 32°C leading at 40.5% implied probability.** This reflects short-range model guidance and India Meteorological Department (IMD) outlooks showing daytime maxima suppressed by increasing cloud cover, thundery development, and scattered rain or showers during the retreating monsoon phase. Easterly winds and high humidity (often 70–85%) limit daytime heating while favoring convective activity, consistent with late-September climatology for the region. Recent days have seen actual highs of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies; forecasts for the 14th cluster between 31–34°C across sources, with several indicating 31–32°C amid 50–80% storm chances. Higher outcomes (34°C+) carry lower odds due to expected rainfall cooling effects, while cooler readings below 30°C remain unlikely without widespread overcast or heavier precipitation. Key upcoming catalysts include updated IMD briefings and global model runs (GFS/ECMWF) that could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture influx change. Market-implied odds align with this evidence-based range rather than drier, clearer scenarios that would push maxima higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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