Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers positioning 33°C as the market leader for Lucknow’s September 12 maximum temperature. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and Met Office indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating while humidity remains elevated near 70-80%. Recent above-average rainfall (over 630 mm since June) and an orange alert for heavy rain have kept observed highs around 33-34°C on September 10-11. Model consensus favors a peak near 33°C, with 34°C possible only if skies clear earlier than expected. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow range, as historical September baselines and current steering patterns make extremes below 32°C or above 34°C less likely without rapid monsoon withdrawal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日勒克瑙的最高温度？
9月12日勒克瑙的最高温度？
33°C 56%
34°C 22%
32°C 18%
35°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
18%
33°C
56%
34°C
22%
35°C
4%
36°C或更高
2%
33°C 56%
34°C 22%
32°C 18%
35°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
26°C或以下
$378 交易量
<1%
27°C
$356 交易量
<1%
28°C
$278 交易量
<1%
29°C
$89 交易量
1%
30°C
$50 交易量
2%
31°C
$177 交易量
3%
32°C
$1,811 交易量
18%
33°C
$735 交易量
56%
34°C
$772 交易量
22%
35°C
$396 交易量
4%
36°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers positioning 33°C as the market leader for Lucknow’s September 12 maximum temperature. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and Met Office indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating while humidity remains elevated near 70-80%. Recent above-average rainfall (over 630 mm since June) and an orange alert for heavy rain have kept observed highs around 33-34°C on September 10-11. Model consensus favors a peak near 33°C, with 34°C possible only if skies clear earlier than expected. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow range, as historical September baselines and current steering patterns make extremes below 32°C or above 34°C less likely without rapid monsoon withdrawal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,041结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers positioning 33°C as the market leader for Lucknow’s September 12 maximum temperature. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and Met Office indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating while humidity remains elevated near 70-80%. Recent above-average rainfall (over 630 mm since June) and an orange alert for heavy rain have kept observed highs around 33-34°C on September 10-11. Model consensus favors a peak near 33°C, with 34°C possible only if skies clear earlier than expected. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow range, as historical September baselines and current steering patterns make extremes below 32°C or above 34°C less likely without rapid monsoon withdrawal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,041结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent monsoon activity and persistent cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh are the main drivers positioning 33°C as the market leader for Lucknow’s September 12 maximum temperature. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and Met Office indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating while humidity remains elevated near 70-80%. Recent above-average rainfall (over 630 mm since June) and an orange alert for heavy rain have kept observed highs around 33-34°C on September 10-11. Model consensus favors a peak near 33°C, with 34°C possible only if skies clear earlier than expected. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow range, as historical September baselines and current steering patterns make extremes below 32°C or above 34°C less likely without rapid monsoon withdrawal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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