Recent forecasts from multiple agencies, including IMD observations and models like GFS and ECMWF, indicate a maximum temperature near 34°C in Lucknow on September 9, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with afternoon convective activity. High humidity near 80-85% combined with a 30-70% chance of thunderstorms—driven by the monsoon trough and Bay of Bengal moisture influx—limits surface heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, aligning with seasonal September norms of 33-34°C. Recent regional data show similar daily maxima around 32-34°C amid scattered rains, supporting the market's emphasis on 34°C (57.5% implied probability) over higher outcomes, though brief clear periods could allow a brief spike toward 35°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日勒克瑙的最高温度?
34°C 68%
35°C 40%
36°C 4.7%
37°C或更高 1.4%
$16,227 交易量
$16,227 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
64%
35°C
33%
36°C
5%
37°C或更高
1%
34°C 68%
35°C 40%
36°C 4.7%
37°C或更高 1.4%
$16,227 交易量
$16,227 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
64%
35°C
33%
36°C
5%
37°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple agencies, including IMD observations and models like GFS and ECMWF, indicate a maximum temperature near 34°C in Lucknow on September 9, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with afternoon convective activity. High humidity near 80-85% combined with a 30-70% chance of thunderstorms—driven by the monsoon trough and Bay of Bengal moisture influx—limits surface heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, aligning with seasonal September norms of 33-34°C. Recent regional data show similar daily maxima around 32-34°C amid scattered rains, supporting the market's emphasis on 34°C (57.5% implied probability) over higher outcomes, though brief clear periods could allow a brief spike toward 35°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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