Recent meteorological guidance from multiple models shows Istanbul under stable high pressure with clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds on September 11, supporting daytime maxima clustering around 27–28 °C. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25–26 °C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment that official station readings may peak slightly below broader regional forecasts amid typical early-September variability. Above-average temperatures for the month so far, combined with dry conditions and limited cloud cover, reinforce the current implied probabilities while leaving room for minor adjustments from final observational data or model updates before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日伊斯坦布尔气温最高？
9月11日伊斯坦布尔气温最高？
25°C 56%
26°C 40%
24°C 4%
23°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
56%
26°C
40%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
25°C 56%
26°C 40%
24°C 4%
23°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
21°C或以下
$416 交易量
<1%
22°C
$183 交易量
<1%
23°C
$94 交易量
2%
24°C
$305 交易量
4%
25°C
$1,010 交易量
56%
26°C
$381 交易量
40%
27°C
$180 交易量
2%
28°C
$135 交易量
<1%
29°C
$186 交易量
1%
30°C
$183 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$144 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance from multiple models shows Istanbul under stable high pressure with clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds on September 11, supporting daytime maxima clustering around 27–28 °C. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25–26 °C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment that official station readings may peak slightly below broader regional forecasts amid typical early-September variability. Above-average temperatures for the month so far, combined with dry conditions and limited cloud cover, reinforce the current implied probabilities while leaving room for minor adjustments from final observational data or model updates before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,216结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance from multiple models shows Istanbul under stable high pressure with clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds on September 11, supporting daytime maxima clustering around 27–28 °C. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25–26 °C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment that official station readings may peak slightly below broader regional forecasts amid typical early-September variability. Above-average temperatures for the month so far, combined with dry conditions and limited cloud cover, reinforce the current implied probabilities while leaving room for minor adjustments from final observational data or model updates before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,216结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent meteorological guidance from multiple models shows Istanbul under stable high pressure with clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds on September 11, supporting daytime maxima clustering around 27–28 °C. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25–26 °C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment that official station readings may peak slightly below broader regional forecasts amid typical early-September variability. Above-average temperatures for the month so far, combined with dry conditions and limited cloud cover, reinforce the current implied probabilities while leaving room for minor adjustments from final observational data or model updates before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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