Recent GFS and ensemble model runs position 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Milan’s September 7 maximum, with light southeast winds, clear skies, and a stable high-pressure ridge limiting daytime mixing and supporting peak readings near 32°C. Current observations show a warm air mass already producing highs of 33–35°C on September 5–6, and short-range guidance indicates only modest cooling ahead of frontal passage later in the week. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (43.5%) and 31°C (32.5%), while lower probabilities for 34°C+ reflect limited model support for further intensification. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日米兰最高气温？
9月7日米兰最高气温？
32°C 44%
31°C 37%
33°C 14%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
28°C或以下
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
8%
31°C
37%
32°C
44%
33°C
14%
34°C
7%
35°C
5%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C或更高
1%
32°C 44%
31°C 37%
33°C 14%
29°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
28°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
29°C
$0 交易量
9%
30°C
$25 交易量
8%
31°C
$296 交易量
37%
32°C
$102 交易量
44%
33°C
$5 交易量
14%
34°C
$11 交易量
7%
35°C
$11 交易量
5%
36°C
$0 交易量
4%
37°C
$0 交易量
3%
38°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ensemble model runs position 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Milan’s September 7 maximum, with light southeast winds, clear skies, and a stable high-pressure ridge limiting daytime mixing and supporting peak readings near 32°C. Current observations show a warm air mass already producing highs of 33–35°C on September 5–6, and short-range guidance indicates only modest cooling ahead of frontal passage later in the week. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (43.5%) and 31°C (32.5%), while lower probabilities for 34°C+ reflect limited model support for further intensification. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$450结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ensemble model runs position 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Milan’s September 7 maximum, with light southeast winds, clear skies, and a stable high-pressure ridge limiting daytime mixing and supporting peak readings near 32°C. Current observations show a warm air mass already producing highs of 33–35°C on September 5–6, and short-range guidance indicates only modest cooling ahead of frontal passage later in the week. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (43.5%) and 31°C (32.5%), while lower probabilities for 34°C+ reflect limited model support for further intensification. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$450结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent GFS and ensemble model runs position 31–33°C as the leading outcomes for Milan’s September 7 maximum, with light southeast winds, clear skies, and a stable high-pressure ridge limiting daytime mixing and supporting peak readings near 32°C. Current observations show a warm air mass already producing highs of 33–35°C on September 5–6, and short-range guidance indicates only modest cooling ahead of frontal passage later in the week. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C (43.5%) and 31°C (32.5%), while lower probabilities for 34°C+ reflect limited model support for further intensification. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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