Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 24 driven by a shift to westerly flow and increased cloud cover with possible light showers, suppressing daytime highs after warmer conditions on August 22–23. Ensemble guidance and official outlooks converge on a maximum near 19–21°C, aligning closely with historical averages of 21°C while accounting for typical late-summer variability in the region. This scientific consensus on modest cooling and limited solar heating underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 19–20°C outcomes, with traders incorporating uncertainty from potential model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日莫斯科最高气温?
20°C 39%
19°C 28%
18°C 20%
21°C 12%
15°C或以下
4%
16°C
9%
17°C
9%
18°C
20%
19°C
28%
20°C
39%
21°C
12%
22°C
7%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C或更高
1%
20°C 39%
19°C 28%
18°C 20%
21°C 12%
15°C或以下
4%
16°C
9%
17°C
9%
18°C
20%
19°C
28%
20°C
39%
21°C
12%
22°C
7%
23°C
7%
24°C
2%
25°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 24 driven by a shift to westerly flow and increased cloud cover with possible light showers, suppressing daytime highs after warmer conditions on August 22–23. Ensemble guidance and official outlooks converge on a maximum near 19–21°C, aligning closely with historical averages of 21°C while accounting for typical late-summer variability in the region. This scientific consensus on modest cooling and limited solar heating underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 19–20°C outcomes, with traders incorporating uncertainty from potential model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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