Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 72°F or higher (75% implied probability) for San Francisco on April 3, mirroring the National Weather Service's latest forecast of sunny skies with highs near 74°F under moderate offshore flow. This warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Pacific, suppressing the typical marine layer and enabling stronger diurnal heating—a pattern solidified after the Bay Area's record hottest March on record, where average temperatures exceeded norms by several degrees. Model ensembles from NOAA show strong agreement on above-normal conditions, with north-northeasterly winds 9-18 mph aiding compression of cool coastal air. While inherent forecast uncertainty remains due to microclimates and exact peak timing at official stations like downtown or SFO, real-time observations today will drive final positioning as the market resolves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 3?
72°F or higher 76%
70-71°F 19%
68-69°F 4%
62-63°F <1%
$30,339 交易量
$30,339 交易量
2026-04-03
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
19%
72°F or higher
76%
72°F or higher 76%
70-71°F 19%
68-69°F 4%
62-63°F <1%
$30,339 交易量
$30,339 交易量
2026-04-03
53°F or below
$7,008 交易量
<1%
54-55°F
$2,122 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$1,640 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$2,653 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$2,535 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$2,329 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$3,257 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$1,597 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$1,634 交易量
4%
70-71°F
$2,342 交易量
19%
72°F or higher
$3,222 交易量
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 72°F or higher (75% implied probability) for San Francisco on April 3, mirroring the National Weather Service's latest forecast of sunny skies with highs near 74°F under moderate offshore flow. This warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Pacific, suppressing the typical marine layer and enabling stronger diurnal heating—a pattern solidified after the Bay Area's record hottest March on record, where average temperatures exceeded norms by several degrees. Model ensembles from NOAA show strong agreement on above-normal conditions, with north-northeasterly winds 9-18 mph aiding compression of cool coastal air. While inherent forecast uncertainty remains due to microclimates and exact peak timing at official stations like downtown or SFO, real-time observations today will drive final positioning as the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
交易量
$30,339结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:35 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 72°F or higher (75% implied probability) for San Francisco on April 3, mirroring the National Weather Service's latest forecast of sunny skies with highs near 74°F under moderate offshore flow. This warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Pacific, suppressing the typical marine layer and enabling stronger diurnal heating—a pattern solidified after the Bay Area's record hottest March on record, where average temperatures exceeded norms by several degrees. Model ensembles from NOAA show strong agreement on above-normal conditions, with north-northeasterly winds 9-18 mph aiding compression of cool coastal air. While inherent forecast uncertainty remains due to microclimates and exact peak timing at official stations like downtown or SFO, real-time observations today will drive final positioning as the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$30,339结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:35 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 72°F or higher (75% implied probability) for San Francisco on April 3, mirroring the National Weather Service's latest forecast of sunny skies with highs near 74°F under moderate offshore flow. This warmth stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Pacific, suppressing the typical marine layer and enabling stronger diurnal heating—a pattern solidified after the Bay Area's record hottest March on record, where average temperatures exceeded norms by several degrees. Model ensembles from NOAA show strong agreement on above-normal conditions, with north-northeasterly winds 9-18 mph aiding compression of cool coastal air. While inherent forecast uncertainty remains due to microclimates and exact peak timing at official stations like downtown or SFO, real-time observations today will drive final positioning as the market resolves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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