Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 64.5% probability of San Francisco reaching 78°F or higher on April 4, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus showing a persistent upper-level high pressure ridge over California. This ridge promotes subsidence warming and clear skies, limiting the typical marine layer's cooling influence from the Pacific, with light offshore winds aiding burn-off of coastal stratus. Following the Bay Area's record hottest March on record, recent observational data from April 2-3 confirms above-normal highs in the low 70s, building momentum for upper-70s peaks downtown. Uncertainty persists in exact fog dissipation timing; watch NWS evening updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution using official downtown San Francisco measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 4?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 4?
78°F or higher 79%
76-77°F 15%
74-75°F 4.7%
72-73°F 3.0%
$18,566 交易量
$18,566 交易量
2026-04-04
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
15%
78°F or higher
79%
78°F or higher 79%
76-77°F 15%
74-75°F 4.7%
72-73°F 3.0%
$18,566 交易量
$18,566 交易量
2026-04-04
59°F or below
$2,464 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$1,318 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$1,457 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$777 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$758 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$2,425 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$2,544 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$1,416 交易量
3%
74-75°F
$1,872 交易量
5%
76-77°F
$1,522 交易量
15%
78°F or higher
$2,013 交易量
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 64.5% probability of San Francisco reaching 78°F or higher on April 4, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus showing a persistent upper-level high pressure ridge over California. This ridge promotes subsidence warming and clear skies, limiting the typical marine layer's cooling influence from the Pacific, with light offshore winds aiding burn-off of coastal stratus. Following the Bay Area's record hottest March on record, recent observational data from April 2-3 confirms above-normal highs in the low 70s, building momentum for upper-70s peaks downtown. Uncertainty persists in exact fog dissipation timing; watch NWS evening updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution using official downtown San Francisco measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:44 PM ET
交易量
$18,566结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 64.5% probability of San Francisco reaching 78°F or higher on April 4, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus showing a persistent upper-level high pressure ridge over California. This ridge promotes subsidence warming and clear skies, limiting the typical marine layer's cooling influence from the Pacific, with light offshore winds aiding burn-off of coastal stratus. Following the Bay Area's record hottest March on record, recent observational data from April 2-3 confirms above-normal highs in the low 70s, building momentum for upper-70s peaks downtown. Uncertainty persists in exact fog dissipation timing; watch NWS evening updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution using official downtown San Francisco measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$18,566结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:44 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a 64.5% probability of San Francisco reaching 78°F or higher on April 4, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus showing a persistent upper-level high pressure ridge over California. This ridge promotes subsidence warming and clear skies, limiting the typical marine layer's cooling influence from the Pacific, with light offshore winds aiding burn-off of coastal stratus. Following the Bay Area's record hottest March on record, recent observational data from April 2-3 confirms above-normal highs in the low 70s, building momentum for upper-70s peaks downtown. Uncertainty persists in exact fog dissipation timing; watch NWS evening updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution using official downtown San Francisco measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题