Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 21°C as Taipei's highest temperature today, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data showing peak readings of 21°C at Songshan station amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a lingering weather front. This cooler-than-average April day—historical highs typically 24–26°C—reflects suppressed solar insolation due to high humidity (80–90%) and northeasterly winds capping daytime heating at the forecasted 19–23°C range. Model consensus from CWA updates reinforces this, with no indications of convective clearing. A late-afternoon break in clouds enabling brief solar warming could challenge this to 22°C, but current trajectories and moisture-laden air make it improbable as resolution nears end-of-day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 25?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 25?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,387 交易量
$73,387 交易量
2026-04-25
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,387 交易量
$73,387 交易量
2026-04-25
15°C or below
$577 交易量
No
16°C
$1,839 交易量
No
17°C
$1,110 交易量
No
18°C
$1,341 交易量
No
19°C
$4,065 交易量
No
20°C
$7,751 交易量
No
21°C
$24,179 交易量
Yes
22°C
$5,958 交易量
No
23°C
$8,735 交易量
No
24°C
$7,198 交易量
No
25°C or higher
$10,636 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 21°C as Taipei's highest temperature today, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data showing peak readings of 21°C at Songshan station amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a lingering weather front. This cooler-than-average April day—historical highs typically 24–26°C—reflects suppressed solar insolation due to high humidity (80–90%) and northeasterly winds capping daytime heating at the forecasted 19–23°C range. Model consensus from CWA updates reinforces this, with no indications of convective clearing. A late-afternoon break in clouds enabling brief solar warming could challenge this to 22°C, but current trajectories and moisture-laden air make it improbable as resolution nears end-of-day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 23, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
交易量
$73,387结束日期
2026-04-25市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 12:47 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 21°C as Taipei's highest temperature today, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data showing peak readings of 21°C at Songshan station amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a lingering weather front. This cooler-than-average April day—historical highs typically 24–26°C—reflects suppressed solar insolation due to high humidity (80–90%) and northeasterly winds capping daytime heating at the forecasted 19–23°C range. Model consensus from CWA updates reinforces this, with no indications of convective clearing. A late-afternoon break in clouds enabling brief solar warming could challenge this to 22°C, but current trajectories and moisture-laden air make it improbable as resolution nears end-of-day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$73,387结束日期
2026-04-25市场开放时间
Apr 23, 2026, 12:47 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 21°C as Taipei's highest temperature today, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data showing peak readings of 21°C at Songshan station amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a lingering weather front. This cooler-than-average April day—historical highs typically 24–26°C—reflects suppressed solar insolation due to high humidity (80–90%) and northeasterly winds capping daytime heating at the forecasted 19–23°C range. Model consensus from CWA updates reinforces this, with no indications of convective clearing. A late-afternoon break in clouds enabling brief solar warming could challenge this to 22°C, but current trajectories and moisture-laden air make it improbable as resolution nears end-of-day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题