Traders assign the highest probability to a 33°C peak in Tel Aviv on August 4 because short-range model guidance from regional meteorological centers shows persistent subtropical high pressure with light winds and clear skies, producing maximum temperatures centered near the long-term August climatological average of 31–33°C. Recent observations confirm stable conditions without significant heat advection or Saharan intrusions that could push readings to 34°C or above, while the moderating influence of the Mediterranean Sea and typical afternoon sea breezes limit upside potential. Forecast consensus across available guidance places the daily high in a narrow 32–33°C band, with only modest uncertainty from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日特拉维夫的最高温度？
8月4日特拉维夫的最高温度？
33°C 53%
32°C 32%
34°C 13%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
30°C or below
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
53%
34°C
13%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 32%
34°C 13%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
30°C or below
$20 交易量
3%
31°C
$82 交易量
5%
32°C
$298 交易量
32%
33°C
$308 交易量
53%
34°C
$191 交易量
13%
35°C
$99 交易量
3%
36°C
$103 交易量
2%
37°C
$20 交易量
3%
38°C
$124 交易量
<1%
39°C
$138 交易量
1%
40°C or higher
$433 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability to a 33°C peak in Tel Aviv on August 4 because short-range model guidance from regional meteorological centers shows persistent subtropical high pressure with light winds and clear skies, producing maximum temperatures centered near the long-term August climatological average of 31–33°C. Recent observations confirm stable conditions without significant heat advection or Saharan intrusions that could push readings to 34°C or above, while the moderating influence of the Mediterranean Sea and typical afternoon sea breezes limit upside potential. Forecast consensus across available guidance places the daily high in a narrow 32–33°C band, with only modest uncertainty from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,815结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probability to a 33°C peak in Tel Aviv on August 4 because short-range model guidance from regional meteorological centers shows persistent subtropical high pressure with light winds and clear skies, producing maximum temperatures centered near the long-term August climatological average of 31–33°C. Recent observations confirm stable conditions without significant heat advection or Saharan intrusions that could push readings to 34°C or above, while the moderating influence of the Mediterranean Sea and typical afternoon sea breezes limit upside potential. Forecast consensus across available guidance places the daily high in a narrow 32–33°C band, with only modest uncertainty from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,815结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to a 33°C peak in Tel Aviv on August 4 because short-range model guidance from regional meteorological centers shows persistent subtropical high pressure with light winds and clear skies, producing maximum temperatures centered near the long-term August climatological average of 31–33°C. Recent observations confirm stable conditions without significant heat advection or Saharan intrusions that could push readings to 34°C or above, while the moderating influence of the Mediterranean Sea and typical afternoon sea breezes limit upside potential. Forecast consensus across available guidance places the daily high in a narrow 32–33°C band, with only modest uncertainty from minor variations in boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and official Israel Meteorological Service briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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