**Market-implied odds favor a 34°C peak in Tel Aviv on August 3 at 53.5%, followed by 33°C (24.5%) and 35°C (19.0%), reflecting model consensus around typical early-August Mediterranean summer conditions.** Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global numerical weather prediction runs (including those feeding AccuWeather and similar services) indicate persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow supporting daytime maxima near 33–34°C along the coast. Sea-breeze timing and urban heat-island effects introduce small uncertainties that can shift the recorded high by 1°C, keeping 33°C and 35°C in play while rendering extremes below 32°C or above 36°C unlikely. Seasonal climatology places early-August averages near 31–32°C, so current model outputs represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with ongoing heat-stress warnings but without signals of an intense heatwave. Updated model runs and official IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any probability shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日特拉维夫最高气温？
8月3日特拉维夫最高气温？
34°C 54%
33°C 24%
35°C 19%
31°C or below 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
31°C or below
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
24%
34°C
54%
35°C
19%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 54%
33°C 24%
35°C 19%
31°C or below 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
31°C or below
$30 交易量
2%
32°C
$65 交易量
2%
33°C
$296 交易量
24%
34°C
$129 交易量
54%
35°C
$316 交易量
19%
36°C
$36 交易量
2%
37°C
$30 交易量
2%
38°C
$33 交易量
1%
39°C
$55 交易量
<1%
40°C
$114 交易量
<1%
41°C or higher
$383 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a 34°C peak in Tel Aviv on August 3 at 53.5%, followed by 33°C (24.5%) and 35°C (19.0%), reflecting model consensus around typical early-August Mediterranean summer conditions.**
Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global numerical weather prediction runs (including those feeding AccuWeather and similar services) indicate persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow supporting daytime maxima near 33–34°C along the coast. Sea-breeze timing and urban heat-island effects introduce small uncertainties that can shift the recorded high by 1°C, keeping 33°C and 35°C in play while rendering extremes below 32°C or above 36°C unlikely. Seasonal climatology places early-August averages near 31–32°C, so current model outputs represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with ongoing heat-stress warnings but without signals of an intense heatwave. Updated model runs and official IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any probability shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,488结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a 34°C peak in Tel Aviv on August 3 at 53.5%, followed by 33°C (24.5%) and 35°C (19.0%), reflecting model consensus around typical early-August Mediterranean summer conditions.**
Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global numerical weather prediction runs (including those feeding AccuWeather and similar services) indicate persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow supporting daytime maxima near 33–34°C along the coast. Sea-breeze timing and urban heat-island effects introduce small uncertainties that can shift the recorded high by 1°C, keeping 33°C and 35°C in play while rendering extremes below 32°C or above 36°C unlikely. Seasonal climatology places early-August averages near 31–32°C, so current model outputs represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with ongoing heat-stress warnings but without signals of an intense heatwave. Updated model runs and official IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any probability shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,488结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a 34°C peak in Tel Aviv on August 3 at 53.5%, followed by 33°C (24.5%) and 35°C (19.0%), reflecting model consensus around typical early-August Mediterranean summer conditions.** Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global numerical weather prediction runs (including those feeding AccuWeather and similar services) indicate persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly flow supporting daytime maxima near 33–34°C along the coast. Sea-breeze timing and urban heat-island effects introduce small uncertainties that can shift the recorded high by 1°C, keeping 33°C and 35°C in play while rendering extremes below 32°C or above 36°C unlikely. Seasonal climatology places early-August averages near 31–32°C, so current model outputs represent a modest positive anomaly consistent with ongoing heat-stress warnings but without signals of an intense heatwave. Updated model runs and official IMS briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any probability shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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