Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (34.5%) and 19°C (29.5%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 27, reflecting the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast of 18-20°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. This clustering stems from ensemble model agreement—ECMWF and GFS projections converging on mild Mediterranean airflow, tempered by coastal sea breezes that often cap diurnal peaks 1-2°C below inland norms. Differentiating 17°C (21%) from 20°C+ hinges on cloud cover variability and potential for brief insolation breaks; historical March averages hover at 19.5°C, but recent runs show slight cooling bias from upper-level troughing. Extremes below 16°C or above 22°C remain improbable amid stable barometric gradients, with IMS hourly observations dictating resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月27日特拉维夫最高气温?
3月27日特拉维夫最高气温?
18°C 32%
17°C 30%
19°C 30%
20°C 29%
13°C或以下
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
11%
17°C
21%
18°C
33%
19°C
30%
20°C
23%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C或更高
2%
18°C 32%
17°C 30%
19°C 30%
20°C 29%
13°C或以下
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
11%
17°C
21%
18°C
33%
19°C
30%
20°C
23%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (34.5%) and 19°C (29.5%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 27, reflecting the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast of 18-20°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. This clustering stems from ensemble model agreement—ECMWF and GFS projections converging on mild Mediterranean airflow, tempered by coastal sea breezes that often cap diurnal peaks 1-2°C below inland norms. Differentiating 17°C (21%) from 20°C+ hinges on cloud cover variability and potential for brief insolation breaks; historical March averages hover at 19.5°C, but recent runs show slight cooling bias from upper-level troughing. Extremes below 16°C or above 22°C remain improbable amid stable barometric gradients, with IMS hourly observations dictating resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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