Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 26 clusters tightly around 16-18°C, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models averaging 17°C amid a cool Mediterranean air mass. Israel's Meteorological Service projects a daytime peak of 17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, which enhance sea-breeze moderation along the coast, capping highs below the late-March historical average of 19°C. Differentiating factors include boundary layer stability—potentially trapping cooler marine air for 16°C outcomes—and minor solar heating variations favoring 18°C if mixing intensifies. Recent model runs show 1-2°C spreads due to resolving frontal remnants, with hourly IMS updates pivotal for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 26?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 26?
17°C 37%
16°C 33%
18°C 16%
15°C 9%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
9%
16°C
33%
17°C
41%
18°C
16%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 37%
16°C 33%
18°C 16%
15°C 9%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
9%
16°C
33%
17°C
41%
18°C
16%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 26 clusters tightly around 16-18°C, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models averaging 17°C amid a cool Mediterranean air mass. Israel's Meteorological Service projects a daytime peak of 17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, which enhance sea-breeze moderation along the coast, capping highs below the late-March historical average of 19°C. Differentiating factors include boundary layer stability—potentially trapping cooler marine air for 16°C outcomes—and minor solar heating variations favoring 18°C if mixing intensifies. Recent model runs show 1-2°C spreads due to resolving frontal remnants, with hourly IMS updates pivotal for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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