Latest ensemble forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models indicate a maximum temperature of 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 19, driving the 55.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms for late September along the Mediterranean coast place typical highs near 29–30°C, and current conditions show a modest cooling trend from midweek heat, with increased cloud cover and light westerly winds limiting afternoon peaks. Model consensus remains tight between 29–31°C, reflecting limited variability in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, though minor shifts in sea-breeze timing or residual humidity could still nudge the daily high. Updated official guidance and high-resolution runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the final inputs for trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日特拉维夫的最高温度？
9月19日特拉维夫的最高温度？
30°C 59%
31°C 27%
29°C 16%
32°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
27°C或以下
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
59%
31°C
27%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
30°C 59%
31°C 27%
29°C 16%
32°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
27°C或以下
$59 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
4%
29°C
$0 交易量
16%
30°C
$160 交易量
59%
31°C
$8 交易量
27%
32°C
$0 交易量
5%
33°C
$0 交易量
2%
34°C
$31 交易量
1%
35°C
$103 交易量
<1%
36°C
$103 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$103 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models indicate a maximum temperature of 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 19, driving the 55.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms for late September along the Mediterranean coast place typical highs near 29–30°C, and current conditions show a modest cooling trend from midweek heat, with increased cloud cover and light westerly winds limiting afternoon peaks. Model consensus remains tight between 29–31°C, reflecting limited variability in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, though minor shifts in sea-breeze timing or residual humidity could still nudge the daily high. Updated official guidance and high-resolution runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the final inputs for trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$567结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models indicate a maximum temperature of 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 19, driving the 55.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms for late September along the Mediterranean coast place typical highs near 29–30°C, and current conditions show a modest cooling trend from midweek heat, with increased cloud cover and light westerly winds limiting afternoon peaks. Model consensus remains tight between 29–31°C, reflecting limited variability in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, though minor shifts in sea-breeze timing or residual humidity could still nudge the daily high. Updated official guidance and high-resolution runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the final inputs for trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$567结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models indicate a maximum temperature of 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 19, driving the 55.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Seasonal norms for late September along the Mediterranean coast place typical highs near 29–30°C, and current conditions show a modest cooling trend from midweek heat, with increased cloud cover and light westerly winds limiting afternoon peaks. Model consensus remains tight between 29–31°C, reflecting limited variability in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, though minor shifts in sea-breeze timing or residual humidity could still nudge the daily high. Updated official guidance and high-resolution runs expected within the next 24–48 hours will provide the final inputs for trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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