Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 29°C (29.5%) to 28°C (18.5%), driven by the latest short-range forecast consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting Wuhan Tianhe International Airport highs of 28–30°C on April 19 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds. A warming trend over the past week—highs rising from 22°C on April 11 to forecasted 28–29°C on April 17–18—has boosted these implied probabilities, aligning with above-climatological April averages of 21–22°C amid high-pressure ridging. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloudiness, which could cap peaks at 28°C or allow solar heating to 30–31°C; new 00Z model runs and hourly observations on resolution day will clarify amid typical spring boundary-layer variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 19?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 19?
29°C 28%
30°C 25%
31°C 20%
28°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
20%
29°C
28%
30°C
25%
31°C
20%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 28%
30°C 25%
31°C 20%
28°C 20%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
25°C or below
$455 交易量
1%
26°C
$333 交易量
4%
27°C
$132 交易量
10%
28°C
$114 交易量
20%
29°C
$48 交易量
28%
30°C
$90 交易量
25%
31°C
$166 交易量
20%
32°C
$85 交易量
5%
33°C
$162 交易量
3%
34°C
$283 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$252 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 29°C (29.5%) to 28°C (18.5%), driven by the latest short-range forecast consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting Wuhan Tianhe International Airport highs of 28–30°C on April 19 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds. A warming trend over the past week—highs rising from 22°C on April 11 to forecasted 28–29°C on April 17–18—has boosted these implied probabilities, aligning with above-climatological April averages of 21–22°C amid high-pressure ridging. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloudiness, which could cap peaks at 28°C or allow solar heating to 30–31°C; new 00Z model runs and hourly observations on resolution day will clarify amid typical spring boundary-layer variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$2,065结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 29°C (29.5%) to 28°C (18.5%), driven by the latest short-range forecast consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting Wuhan Tianhe International Airport highs of 28–30°C on April 19 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds. A warming trend over the past week—highs rising from 22°C on April 11 to forecasted 28–29°C on April 17–18—has boosted these implied probabilities, aligning with above-climatological April averages of 21–22°C amid high-pressure ridging. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloudiness, which could cap peaks at 28°C or allow solar heating to 30–31°C; new 00Z model runs and hourly observations on resolution day will clarify amid typical spring boundary-layer variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,065结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 12:12 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 29°C (29.5%) to 28°C (18.5%), driven by the latest short-range forecast consensus from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models projecting Wuhan Tianhe International Airport highs of 28–30°C on April 19 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds. A warming trend over the past week—highs rising from 22°C on April 11 to forecasted 28–29°C on April 17–18—has boosted these implied probabilities, aligning with above-climatological April averages of 21–22°C amid high-pressure ridging. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloudiness, which could cap peaks at 28°C or allow solar heating to 30–31°C; new 00Z model runs and hourly observations on resolution day will clarify amid typical spring boundary-layer variability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题