Recent global model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a September 21 high near 26–27°C in Wuhan amid increasing cloud cover and a 40–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and light northerly winds further moderate peak temperatures following earlier regional rainfall that cooled the area by several degrees. This aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. China Meteorological Administration updates and afternoon model revisions before the date will likely refine the outcome, as even modest changes in cloud timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C in this humid subtropical setting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日武汉气温最高？
9月21日武汉气温最高？
26°C 29%
27°C 27%
24°C或以下 24%
25°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
24°C或以下
24%
25°C
17%
26°C
29%
27°C
25%
28°C
16%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃或以上
<1%
26°C 29%
27°C 27%
24°C或以下 24%
25°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
24°C或以下
$186 交易量
24%
25°C
$67 交易量
17%
26°C
$29 交易量
29%
27°C
$36 交易量
25%
28°C
$25 交易量
16%
29°C
$8 交易量
9%
30°C
$0 交易量
3%
31°C
$0 交易量
3%
32°C
$16 交易量
<1%
33°C
$31 交易量
<1%
34℃或以上
$31 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a September 21 high near 26–27°C in Wuhan amid increasing cloud cover and a 40–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and light northerly winds further moderate peak temperatures following earlier regional rainfall that cooled the area by several degrees. This aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. China Meteorological Administration updates and afternoon model revisions before the date will likely refine the outcome, as even modest changes in cloud timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C in this humid subtropical setting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$429结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a September 21 high near 26–27°C in Wuhan amid increasing cloud cover and a 40–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and light northerly winds further moderate peak temperatures following earlier regional rainfall that cooled the area by several degrees. This aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. China Meteorological Administration updates and afternoon model revisions before the date will likely refine the outcome, as even modest changes in cloud timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C in this humid subtropical setting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$429结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent global model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a September 21 high near 26–27°C in Wuhan amid increasing cloud cover and a 40–60% chance of showers or thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Persistent humidity near 70–80% and light northerly winds further moderate peak temperatures following earlier regional rainfall that cooled the area by several degrees. This aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 25–27°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. China Meteorological Administration updates and afternoon model revisions before the date will likely refine the outcome, as even modest changes in cloud timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C in this humid subtropical setting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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