**Forecast models for Wuhan on September 21 point to a daily minimum near 22–23°C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, creating uncertainty that keeps market-implied odds nearly even between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes.** Recent regional rainfall patterns across Hubei, driven by moisture from the southwest and northerly flow, have moderated daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under humid conditions (dew points near 22–23°C). Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) shows consensus around 22–24°C lows with 20–70% rain chances, though small timing shifts in cloud breaks or wind could alter the overnight low by 2–3°C. Historical September minima in Wuhan average near 20–22°C, but the current setup’s instability keeps trader consensus split on whether cooler advection or retained warmth prevails. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the tight probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日武汉最低气温？
9月21日武汉最低气温？
18°C或以下 100%
28°C或以上 98%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
18°C或以下
100%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
40%
28°C或以上
98%
18°C或以下 100%
28°C或以上 98%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
18°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
19°C
$0 交易量
40%
20°C
$0 交易量
40%
21°C
$0 交易量
40%
22°C
$0 交易量
40%
23°C
$0 交易量
40%
24°C
$0 交易量
40%
25°C
$0 交易量
40%
26°C
$0 交易量
40%
27°C
$0 交易量
40%
28°C或以上
$0 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Wuhan on September 21 point to a daily minimum near 22–23°C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, creating uncertainty that keeps market-implied odds nearly even between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes.**
Recent regional rainfall patterns across Hubei, driven by moisture from the southwest and northerly flow, have moderated daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under humid conditions (dew points near 22–23°C). Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) shows consensus around 22–24°C lows with 20–70% rain chances, though small timing shifts in cloud breaks or wind could alter the overnight low by 2–3°C. Historical September minima in Wuhan average near 20–22°C, but the current setup’s instability keeps trader consensus split on whether cooler advection or retained warmth prevails. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the tight probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Wuhan on September 21 point to a daily minimum near 22–23°C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, creating uncertainty that keeps market-implied odds nearly even between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes.**
Recent regional rainfall patterns across Hubei, driven by moisture from the southwest and northerly flow, have moderated daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under humid conditions (dew points near 22–23°C). Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) shows consensus around 22–24°C lows with 20–70% rain chances, though small timing shifts in cloud breaks or wind could alter the overnight low by 2–3°C. Historical September minima in Wuhan average near 20–22°C, but the current setup’s instability keeps trader consensus split on whether cooler advection or retained warmth prevails. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the tight probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models for Wuhan on September 21 point to a daily minimum near 22–23°C amid variable cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, creating uncertainty that keeps market-implied odds nearly even between sub-18°C and 28°C+ outcomes.** Recent regional rainfall patterns across Hubei, driven by moisture from the southwest and northerly flow, have moderated daytime heating while limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under humid conditions (dew points near 22–23°C). Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs (e.g., ECMWF, GFS) shows consensus around 22–24°C lows with 20–70% rain chances, though small timing shifts in cloud breaks or wind could alter the overnight low by 2–3°C. Historical September minima in Wuhan average near 20–22°C, but the current setup’s instability keeps trader consensus split on whether cooler advection or retained warmth prevails. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the tight probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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