**Trader consensus centers on persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and northeasterly flow from a regional weather system that has suppressed daytime heating across Henan Province.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and provincial observatories highlights thunderstorms and overcast skies for August 11, limiting solar insolation and holding maximum temperatures near the forecast peak of 26 °C, well below the month’s climatological average of roughly 31 °C. Surface observations through the morning already register 22–25 °C amid light-to-moderate rain, consistent with model consensus that additional moisture and reduced insolation will prevent further warming. The extremely narrow implied probability distribution reflects both the tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs around this value and the limited time remaining for any late-day clearing to alter the daily maximum. Only an unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharp shift in steering flow could push readings outside the 25–27 °C envelope before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日郑州气温最高？
8月11日郑州气温最高？
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$10,546 交易量
$10,546 交易量
2026-08-11
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$10,546 交易量
$10,546 交易量
2026-08-11
22°C or below
$205 交易量
No
23°C
$633 交易量
No
24°C
$631 交易量
No
25°C
$2,595 交易量
No
26°C
$1,377 交易量
Yes
27°C
$760 交易量
No
28°C
$992 交易量
No
29°C
$1,480 交易量
No
30°C
$1,336 交易量
No
31°C
$343 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$195 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and northeasterly flow from a regional weather system that has suppressed daytime heating across Henan Province.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and provincial observatories highlights thunderstorms and overcast skies for August 11, limiting solar insolation and holding maximum temperatures near the forecast peak of 26 °C, well below the month’s climatological average of roughly 31 °C. Surface observations through the morning already register 22–25 °C amid light-to-moderate rain, consistent with model consensus that additional moisture and reduced insolation will prevent further warming. The extremely narrow implied probability distribution reflects both the tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs around this value and the limited time remaining for any late-day clearing to alter the daily maximum. Only an unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharp shift in steering flow could push readings outside the 25–27 °C envelope before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$10,546结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and northeasterly flow from a regional weather system that has suppressed daytime heating across Henan Province.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and provincial observatories highlights thunderstorms and overcast skies for August 11, limiting solar insolation and holding maximum temperatures near the forecast peak of 26 °C, well below the month’s climatological average of roughly 31 °C. Surface observations through the morning already register 22–25 °C amid light-to-moderate rain, consistent with model consensus that additional moisture and reduced insolation will prevent further warming. The extremely narrow implied probability distribution reflects both the tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs around this value and the limited time remaining for any late-day clearing to alter the daily maximum. Only an unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharp shift in steering flow could push readings outside the 25–27 °C envelope before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,546结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Trader consensus centers on persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and northeasterly flow from a regional weather system that has suppressed daytime heating across Henan Province.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and provincial observatories highlights thunderstorms and overcast skies for August 11, limiting solar insolation and holding maximum temperatures near the forecast peak of 26 °C, well below the month’s climatological average of roughly 31 °C. Surface observations through the morning already register 22–25 °C amid light-to-moderate rain, consistent with model consensus that additional moisture and reduced insolation will prevent further warming. The extremely narrow implied probability distribution reflects both the tight clustering of numerical weather prediction outputs around this value and the limited time remaining for any late-day clearing to alter the daily maximum. Only an unexpected rapid dissipation of cloud cover or a sharp shift in steering flow could push readings outside the 25–27 °C envelope before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题