Strong forecast consensus from multiple models shows Zhengzhou reaching a daytime high of 32–33°C on August 31 under clear, sunny skies with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, allowing peak solar heating in the region’s late-summer regime. Official observations earlier in the period and historical late-August averages near 30°C further support temperatures comfortably clearing the 32°C threshold. This meteorological setup—stable high pressure, low humidity, and no precipitation—drives the 100% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational and modeling data. Only an abrupt, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a measurement anomaly at the official station could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日郑州气温最高？
8月31日郑州气温最高？
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$7,505 交易量
$7,505 交易量
2026-08-31
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$7,505 交易量
$7,505 交易量
2026-08-31
22°C or below
$970 交易量
No
23°C
$990 交易量
No
24°C
$1,065 交易量
No
25°C
$315 交易量
No
26°C
$215 交易量
No
27°C
$104 交易量
No
28°C
$465 交易量
No
29°C
$130 交易量
No
30°C
$323 交易量
No
31°C
$867 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$2,061 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from multiple models shows Zhengzhou reaching a daytime high of 32–33°C on August 31 under clear, sunny skies with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, allowing peak solar heating in the region’s late-summer regime. Official observations earlier in the period and historical late-August averages near 30°C further support temperatures comfortably clearing the 32°C threshold. This meteorological setup—stable high pressure, low humidity, and no precipitation—drives the 100% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational and modeling data. Only an abrupt, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a measurement anomaly at the official station could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$7,505结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong forecast consensus from multiple models shows Zhengzhou reaching a daytime high of 32–33°C on August 31 under clear, sunny skies with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, allowing peak solar heating in the region’s late-summer regime. Official observations earlier in the period and historical late-August averages near 30°C further support temperatures comfortably clearing the 32°C threshold. This meteorological setup—stable high pressure, low humidity, and no precipitation—drives the 100% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational and modeling data. Only an abrupt, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a measurement anomaly at the official station could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,505结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Strong forecast consensus from multiple models shows Zhengzhou reaching a daytime high of 32–33°C on August 31 under clear, sunny skies with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover, allowing peak solar heating in the region’s late-summer regime. Official observations earlier in the period and historical late-August averages near 30°C further support temperatures comfortably clearing the 32°C threshold. This meteorological setup—stable high pressure, low humidity, and no precipitation—drives the 100% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified observational and modeling data. Only an abrupt, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a measurement anomaly at the official station could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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