**Trader consensus at 99.9% for 32°C or higher on August 24 reflects Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate, where late-August daily highs normally average 31–33°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation.** Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently projected afternoon maxima near 32°C (89–90°F) amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with multi-year observations at Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport. This strong baseline, reinforced by the absence of any cooling frontal passage or widespread convection in the 48-hour run-up, produced near-certain market-implied odds. Only an unusually vigorous cold-air intrusion or prolonged heavy rain—both statistically rare this late in the season—could realistically pull the maximum below the threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日郑州气温最高？
8月24日郑州气温最高？
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$3,210 交易量
$3,210 交易量
2026-08-24
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$3,210 交易量
$3,210 交易量
2026-08-24
22°C or below
$225 交易量
No
23°C
$125 交易量
No
24°C
$205 交易量
No
25°C
$205 交易量
No
26°C
$125 交易量
No
27°C
$205 交易量
No
28°C
$200 交易量
No
29°C
$757 交易量
No
30°C
$436 交易量
No
31°C
$401 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$326 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.9% for 32°C or higher on August 24 reflects Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate, where late-August daily highs normally average 31–33°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation.** Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently projected afternoon maxima near 32°C (89–90°F) amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with multi-year observations at Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport. This strong baseline, reinforced by the absence of any cooling frontal passage or widespread convection in the 48-hour run-up, produced near-certain market-implied odds. Only an unusually vigorous cold-air intrusion or prolonged heavy rain—both statistically rare this late in the season—could realistically pull the maximum below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$3,210结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 99.9% for 32°C or higher on August 24 reflects Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate, where late-August daily highs normally average 31–33°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation.** Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently projected afternoon maxima near 32°C (89–90°F) amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with multi-year observations at Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport. This strong baseline, reinforced by the absence of any cooling frontal passage or widespread convection in the 48-hour run-up, produced near-certain market-implied odds. Only an unusually vigorous cold-air intrusion or prolonged heavy rain—both statistically rare this late in the season—could realistically pull the maximum below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,210结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Trader consensus at 99.9% for 32°C or higher on August 24 reflects Zhengzhou’s subtropical monsoon climate, where late-August daily highs normally average 31–33°C under persistent subtropical high pressure and strong solar insolation.** Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models consistently projected afternoon maxima near 32°C (89–90°F) amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with multi-year observations at Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport. This strong baseline, reinforced by the absence of any cooling frontal passage or widespread convection in the 48-hour run-up, produced near-certain market-implied odds. Only an unusually vigorous cold-air intrusion or prolonged heavy rain—both statistically rare this late in the season—could realistically pull the maximum below the threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题