Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced on April 9, 2026, that his cabinet would launch direct negotiations with Lebanon as soon as possible, focused on disarming Hezbollah and establishing peaceful relations, amid fragile 2024 ceasefire violations and recent cross-border strikes. Lebanon agreed to a U.S.-hosted preparatory meeting next Tuesday, April 15, at the State Department in Washington, signaling a rare diplomatic breakthrough despite Hezbollah's rejection of talks without a prior truce and ongoing Israeli strikes targeting the group. This development reflects U.S. mediation efforts to de-escalate northern border tensions linked to the broader Iran conflict, with trader consensus hinging on whether the session advances formal diplomacy or stalls over preconditions like Hezbollah disarmament.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
$74,087 交易量
2026-04-30
4月12日
2%
4月19日
84%
4月30日
89%
$74,087 交易量
4月12日
$55,828 交易量
2%
4月19日
$12,085 交易量
84%
4月30日
$6,204 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced on April 9, 2026, that his cabinet would launch direct negotiations with Lebanon as soon as possible, focused on disarming Hezbollah and establishing peaceful relations, amid fragile 2024 ceasefire violations and recent cross-border strikes. Lebanon agreed to a U.S.-hosted preparatory meeting next Tuesday, April 15, at the State Department in Washington, signaling a rare diplomatic breakthrough despite Hezbollah's rejection of talks without a prior truce and ongoing Israeli strikes targeting the group. This development reflects U.S. mediation efforts to de-escalate northern border tensions linked to the broader Iran conflict, with trader consensus hinging on whether the session advances formal diplomacy or stalls over preconditions like Hezbollah disarmament.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
交易量
$74,087结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced on April 9, 2026, that his cabinet would launch direct negotiations with Lebanon as soon as possible, focused on disarming Hezbollah and establishing peaceful relations, amid fragile 2024 ceasefire violations and recent cross-border strikes. Lebanon agreed to a U.S.-hosted preparatory meeting next Tuesday, April 15, at the State Department in Washington, signaling a rare diplomatic breakthrough despite Hezbollah's rejection of talks without a prior truce and ongoing Israeli strikes targeting the group. This development reflects U.S. mediation efforts to de-escalate northern border tensions linked to the broader Iran conflict, with trader consensus hinging on whether the session advances formal diplomacy or stalls over preconditions like Hezbollah disarmament.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$74,087结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced on April 9, 2026, that his cabinet would launch direct negotiations with Lebanon as soon as possible, focused on disarming Hezbollah and establishing peaceful relations, amid fragile 2024 ceasefire violations and recent cross-border strikes. Lebanon agreed to a U.S.-hosted preparatory meeting next Tuesday, April 15, at the State Department in Washington, signaling a rare diplomatic breakthrough despite Hezbollah's rejection of talks without a prior truce and ongoing Israeli strikes targeting the group. This development reflects U.S. mediation efforts to de-escalate northern border tensions linked to the broader Iran conflict, with trader consensus hinging on whether the session advances formal diplomacy or stalls over preconditions like Hezbollah disarmament.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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