Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu near 22–24°C on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover and light precipitation that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity levels above 70% and weak winds limit temperature drops after sunset, while daytime maxima around 28–30°C reflect reduced solar insolation from overcast conditions. Historical August baselines show typical overnight lows near 23°C, with current model consensus clustering tightly around these values amid minor disagreements on exact cloud thickness and timing of any clearing. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering moisture and potential brief clear spells that could nudge the minimum slightly lower or higher before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日成都最低气温?
22°C 47%
24°C 46%
25°C 45%
21°C 43%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
23%
19°C
23%
20°C
21%
21°C
43%
22°C
47%
23°C
35%
24°C
46%
25°C
45%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 47%
24°C 46%
25°C 45%
21°C 43%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
23%
19°C
23%
20°C
21%
21°C
43%
22°C
47%
23°C
35%
24°C
46%
25°C
45%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu near 22–24°C on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover and light precipitation that suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity levels above 70% and weak winds limit temperature drops after sunset, while daytime maxima around 28–30°C reflect reduced solar insolation from overcast conditions. Historical August baselines show typical overnight lows near 23°C, with current model consensus clustering tightly around these values amid minor disagreements on exact cloud thickness and timing of any clearing. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering moisture and potential brief clear spells that could nudge the minimum slightly lower or higher before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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