**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 3, 2026, centered around 20–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds.** This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the Sichuan Basin, where radiative cooling overnight typically produces lows in the low 20s after daytime highs near 30–32°C. The near-even split between the 17°C-or-below and 27°C-or-higher binary outcomes reflects trader hedging around forecast uncertainty and potential model revisions in the final 48 hours. Key differentiating factors include the degree of nocturnal cloud cover (which traps heat and raises minima), subtle shifts in regional high-pressure strength, and any late adjustments from the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles. Light northerly or variable winds and low precipitation chances support efficient cooling but leave room for small deviations of 1–2°C. Upcoming official updates from local weather agencies and refined model runs over the next day will likely narrow the distribution around the 21–22°C range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日成都最低气温？
9月3日成都最低气温？
17°C or below 91%
27°C or higher 84%
22°C 32%
21°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
17°C or below
91%
18°C
25%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
27%
22°C
32%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
84%
17°C or below 91%
27°C or higher 84%
22°C 32%
21°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
17°C or below
$5 交易量
91%
18°C
$0 交易量
25%
19°C
$0 交易量
25%
20°C
$0 交易量
25%
21°C
$0 交易量
27%
22°C
$0 交易量
32%
23°C
$0 交易量
25%
24°C
$0 交易量
25%
25°C
$0 交易量
25%
26°C
$5 交易量
2%
27°C or higher
$5 交易量
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 3, 2026, centered around 20–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds.** This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the Sichuan Basin, where radiative cooling overnight typically produces lows in the low 20s after daytime highs near 30–32°C.
The near-even split between the 17°C-or-below and 27°C-or-higher binary outcomes reflects trader hedging around forecast uncertainty and potential model revisions in the final 48 hours. Key differentiating factors include the degree of nocturnal cloud cover (which traps heat and raises minima), subtle shifts in regional high-pressure strength, and any late adjustments from the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles. Light northerly or variable winds and low precipitation chances support efficient cooling but leave room for small deviations of 1–2°C.
Upcoming official updates from local weather agencies and refined model runs over the next day will likely narrow the distribution around the 21–22°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$15结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 3, 2026, centered around 20–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds.** This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the Sichuan Basin, where radiative cooling overnight typically produces lows in the low 20s after daytime highs near 30–32°C.
The near-even split between the 17°C-or-below and 27°C-or-higher binary outcomes reflects trader hedging around forecast uncertainty and potential model revisions in the final 48 hours. Key differentiating factors include the degree of nocturnal cloud cover (which traps heat and raises minima), subtle shifts in regional high-pressure strength, and any late adjustments from the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles. Light northerly or variable winds and low precipitation chances support efficient cooling but leave room for small deviations of 1–2°C.
Upcoming official updates from local weather agencies and refined model runs over the next day will likely narrow the distribution around the 21–22°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a daily minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 3, 2026, centered around 20–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds.** This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the Sichuan Basin, where radiative cooling overnight typically produces lows in the low 20s after daytime highs near 30–32°C. The near-even split between the 17°C-or-below and 27°C-or-higher binary outcomes reflects trader hedging around forecast uncertainty and potential model revisions in the final 48 hours. Key differentiating factors include the degree of nocturnal cloud cover (which traps heat and raises minima), subtle shifts in regional high-pressure strength, and any late adjustments from the China Meteorological Administration or global ensembles. Light northerly or variable winds and low precipitation chances support efficient cooling but leave room for small deviations of 1–2°C. Upcoming official updates from local weather agencies and refined model runs over the next day will likely narrow the distribution around the 21–22°C range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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