Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C in Chongqing on September 20, driven by persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling overnight. Subtropical conditions typical for late September, with average lows around 22°C, align with current observations showing dew points near 21°C and light winds that prevent sharper drops. Trader consensus around the 22°C, 20°C, and 19°C outcomes reflects this model agreement while incorporating uncertainty from potential variations in rainfall timing or localized effects, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to the narrow expected range and historical precedent for minimal day-to-day variability in such stable patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日重庆气温最低?
19°C 100%
20°C 51%
21°C 18%
18°C或以下 10%
18°C或以下
10%
19°C
100%
20°C
51%
21°C
18%
22°C
-
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
19°C 100%
20°C 51%
21°C 18%
18°C或以下 10%
18°C或以下
10%
19°C
100%
20°C
51%
21°C
18%
22°C
-
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature near 22°C in Chongqing on September 20, driven by persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and high humidity that limits radiative cooling overnight. Subtropical conditions typical for late September, with average lows around 22°C, align with current observations showing dew points near 21°C and light winds that prevent sharper drops. Trader consensus around the 22°C, 20°C, and 19°C outcomes reflects this model agreement while incorporating uncertainty from potential variations in rainfall timing or localized effects, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to the narrow expected range and historical precedent for minimal day-to-day variability in such stable patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题