Current forecast models indicate moderate uncertainty in Denver's overnight low for August 22, with ensemble guidance showing potential for enhanced radiational cooling under clear, dry conditions versus limited warming from weak warm-air advection. Denver's 5,280-foot elevation and low humidity amplify the diurnal range, enabling surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset when skies remain clear and winds stay light. Historical August normals place the typical minimum near 55–57°F, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for readings at or below 51°F. Updated National Weather Service guidance and new model cycles tonight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日丹佛最低气温?
66-67°F 32%
64-65°F 29%
70°F或更高 27%
60-61°F 27%
51°F或以下
36%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
27%
70°F或更高
27%
66-67°F 32%
64-65°F 29%
70°F或更高 27%
60-61°F 27%
51°F或以下
36%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
27%
70°F或更高
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models indicate moderate uncertainty in Denver's overnight low for August 22, with ensemble guidance showing potential for enhanced radiational cooling under clear, dry conditions versus limited warming from weak warm-air advection. Denver's 5,280-foot elevation and low humidity amplify the diurnal range, enabling surface temperatures to drop efficiently after sunset when skies remain clear and winds stay light. Historical August normals place the typical minimum near 55–57°F, yet recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, supporting the market's elevated implied probability for readings at or below 51°F. Updated National Weather Service guidance and new model cycles tonight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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